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RIOT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 758 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Riot Platforms, Inc. Common Stock FINANCE SERVICES (SIC 6199)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 24, 2003 🔗 www.riotplatforms.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.42B 👥 Employees: 783
Riot Platforms Inc is a vertically integrated Bitcoin mining company focused on building, supporting, and operating blockchain technologies. The company's segments include Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. The Bitcoin Mining segment generates revenue from the Bitcoin the Company earns through its Bitcoin Mining activities. The Engineering segment generates revenue through customer contracts for custom engineered electrical products. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Bitcoin Mining segment.
📊
758
Total Alerts
🎯
45.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.16%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+4.13%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 43.0%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.04%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +6.33%
Worst: -5.10%
Trades: 325/418

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +6.78%
Worst: -8.39%
Trades: 324/424

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.16%
Avg Winner: +2.28%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +9.93%
Worst: -9.05%
Trades: 346/403

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +2.81%
Avg Loser: -2.69%
Best: +11.20%
Worst: -13.66%
Trades: 340/411

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.8%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +4.51%
Avg Loser: -4.17%
Best: +18.70%
Worst: -14.52%
Trades: 347/406

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.13%
Best MFE: +19.72%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, RIOT alerts reach +4.13% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.78%
Worst MAE: -8.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.78%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.33:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.33x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 758 alerts, RIOT typically reaches +4.13% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 758
Gap Up % 32.5%
Avg Gap -0.18%
Best Gap +2.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: FINANCE SERVICES

How RIOT compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RIOT: -0.21% Sector: -0.22% +0.01%
EOD Gain
RIOT: -0.18% Sector: +101.11% -101.29%
Avg MFE
RIOT: +4.13% Sector: +5.23% -1.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RIOT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:29:54 $12.17 +1.44% +2.30% +1.40% +0.65% +0.82% +2.55% -0.33% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:29 $11.24 -2.85% -2.02% -0.53% +2.00% +8.81% +9.43% -3.29% -0.49% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:28 $10.99 -0.27% +0.46% +0.96% -0.47% +1.55% +3.00% -1.00% -0.18% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:27:07 $11.63 -2.58% -1.72% -0.56% -2.28% -4.21% -0.17% -2.75% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:16 $11.81 -0.47% -1.10% -2.07% -1.65% -1.52% +0.68% -1.95% -0.68% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:28:33 $11.93 +1.72% +2.26% +1.38% -0.46% -2.43% +4.02% -3.77% +0.34% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:06 $11.84 +0.46% -1.69% -1.35% -0.17% -1.94% +1.77% -0.93% -0.68% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:38 $12.32 +0.97% +0.57% -0.41% -0.65% -4.71% +1.83% +0.16% +0.57% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:58 $11.89 +1.72% +0.67% -0.21% +0.76% +3.36% +4.19% -0.84% -0.76% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:45 $10.83 +0.55% +1.27% +2.95% +7.39% +10.71% +13.07% -1.57% +0.37% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:14 $12.03 +0.80% -0.42% -0.64% +0.26% -1.25% +3.57% -2.16% -0.25% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:30 $11.49 +2.41% +3.83% +4.09% -0.17% +3.57% +5.66% -0.61% -0.09% WIN
2025-01-29 09:26:46 $10.93 -0.05% +1.01% +2.97% +2.48% +2.65% +5.47% -2.01% -0.91% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:27:53 $11.69 -2.14% -4.19% -2.35% -3.04% -6.33% +0.26% +0.26% -0.26% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:21 $12.61 -2.58% -3.29% -1.43% -5.01% -9.20% +0.48% -0.24% -0.16% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:51 $13.28 -0.90% +1.36% +0.16% +3.39% +1.96% +7.15% -1.73% +0.34% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:29 $12.92 -0.62% +5.11% +5.96% +4.80% +0.54% +12.54% -1.32% -0.70% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:32 $12.85 +0.61% +1.40% +0.16% -0.58% +2.26% +6.93% -3.00% +0.47% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:07 $14.09 +0.28% -6.35% -9.05% -9.69% -9.58% +1.99% -1.06% -0.85% WIN
2025-01-17 09:29:20 $13.91 +1.29% -0.36% +0.68% +1.29% -3.74% +3.74% -1.51% -0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RIOT Shows Negative Expectancy

With 45.8% win rate and -0.16% average gain, RIOT alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RIOT for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RIOT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RIOT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RIOT historically offers an average upside of +4.13% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RIOT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.8%, RIOT shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RIOT may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RIOT shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.16%). This suggests RIOT is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.