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CNDT Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2024-05-03

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Conduent Incorporated Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 13, 2016 🔗 www.conduent.com
💰 Market Cap: $258.4M 👥 Employees: 56,000
Conduent Inc acts as a provider of business process services with expertise in transaction-intensive processing, analytics, and automation. The company provides industry-focused service offerings in growth markets such as Healthcare and Transportation as well as provides multi-industry services such as transaction processing, customer care, and payment services. It operates through three segments namely Commercial Industries which is the key revenue-driving segment, Government Services, and Transportation. The group operates its business in the United States, Europe, and Other areas of which the majority of revenue is generated in the United States.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.19%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.19%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.42%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.74%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +1.85%
Worst: -2.46%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +3.61%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +3.61%
Worst: -1.85%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +1.54%
Worst: -1.28%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.07%
Best MFE: +6.11%
Avg Time to MFE: 9 min

On average, CNDT alerts reach +4.07% profit potential within 9 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.60%
Worst MAE: -2.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, CNDT typically reaches +4.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +0.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How CNDT compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNDT: +1.19% Sector: -0.05% +1.23%
EOD Gain
CNDT: +0.10% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.86%
Avg MFE
CNDT: +4.07% Sector: +2.89% +1.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNDT alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-03 09:29:13 $3.92 +2.42% +1.66% +0.13% -1.53% -1.28% +4.08% -0.51% +0.26% WIN
2024-04-29 09:27:07 $3.25 - -1.85% -2.46% -1.85% +1.54% +3.08% -2.12% -0.92% -
2022-04-07 09:25:00 $5.4 +0.19% +2.48% +1.85% +3.61% -0.37% +6.11% -2.41% +0.74% WIN
2022-01-04 09:25:00 $5.94 +2.15% +0.67% +0.76% -1.26% +0.51% +3.03% -1.35% -1.35% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on CNDT

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CNDT's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CNDT Strategy →

Why Analyze CNDT with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNDT. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNDT historically offers an average upside of +4.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNDT Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, CNDT shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CNDT performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.19%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.