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PYPL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 597 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-12
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PYPL alerts reach +1.69% profit potential within 129 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 597 alerts, PYPL typically reaches +1.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
How PYPL compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PYPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 | 09:27:49 | $75.25 | +0.54% | +0.92% | +1.36% | +1.13% | +1.36% | +2.13% | +0.07% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:27:39 | $77.84 | -1.49% | -1.33% | -1.17% | -1.54% | -2.09% | +0.01% | -1.21% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:28:37 | $78.15 | +0.08% | +0.44% | +0.52% | +0.82% | +0.12% | +0.99% | -0.69% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:26:30 | $78.9 | +0.44% | +0.27% | -0.35% | -0.93% | -2.02% | +0.75% | -0.11% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:28:34 | $79.73 | -0.65% | -1.40% | -1.08% | -1.39% | -1.45% | +0.13% | +0.13% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:28:51 | $78.12 | -0.10% | +0.12% | +0.29% | +1.13% | +1.38% | +1.77% | -0.58% | +0.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:29:14 | $82.29 | -0.43% | -1.29% | -2.37% | -1.57% | -5.55% | +0.49% | -1.45% | -0.04% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:29:10 | $85.92 | +1.23% | +1.29% | +0.88% | +1.71% | +4.18% | +4.60% | +0.09% | +0.68% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:27 | $87.77 | +0.25% | +0.80% | +1.34% | +2.33% | +2.81% | +2.92% | -0.43% | -0.26% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:28:55 | $90.03 | +0.13% | -0.63% | -0.59% | -0.32% | -0.20% | +0.38% | -0.37% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:26:54 | $88.36 | +0.62% | +0.84% | +1.34% | +1.79% | +1.45% | +2.07% | +0.12% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:03 | $87.86 | +0.25% | -0.40% | -0.63% | -0.91% | +0.09% | +0.42% | -0.08% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:29:51 | $88.15 | +0.16% | +0.25% | +0.50% | +1.28% | +1.57% | +2.20% | -0.49% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:26:00 | $85.08 | -0.55% | +0.61% | +1.27% | +1.85% | +2.41% | +3.70% | -0.68% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:29:04 | $86.5 | +1.40% | +1.55% | +1.09% | +0.34% | +0.32% | +2.22% | -0.25% | -0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-12-18 | 09:26:12 | $91.03 | -0.23% | -0.63% | -0.59% | -0.68% | -6.13% | +0.07% | -0.60% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-17 | 09:27:25 | $91.2 | -0.32% | +0.06% | +0.49% | -0.37% | -0.37% | +0.88% | -0.75% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-13 | 09:26:35 | $90.4 | -0.46% | +0.17% | -0.13% | +0.62% | +0.69% | +0.87% | -0.64% | +0.02% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-09 | 09:29:59 | $92.07 | -0.03% | -0.30% | -0.37% | -1.31% | -2.25% | +1.73% | -0.42% | +0.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:27:35 | $89.25 | -0.33% | -0.49% | -0.45% | -0.22% | -0.23% | +1.14% | +0.20% | +0.38% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PYPL Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.8% win rate, PYPL has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PYPL profitable.
🔧 Fix PYPL Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PYPL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PYPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PYPL historically offers an average upside of +1.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PYPL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.8%, PYPL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.23%) outweigh average wins (+1.12%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PYPL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests PYPL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.