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BABA Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 758 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, BABA alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 106 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.64%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.45x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 758 alerts, BABA typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical BABA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:28:06 | $125.87 | -1.14% | -1.67% | -0.57% | -2.84% | -0.91% | +0.74% | -0.53% | +0.57% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:25:16 | $115.99 | -0.59% | +0.16% | +1.53% | +1.44% | +3.06% | +3.09% | -1.06% | -0.57% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:29:14 | $116.06 | +0.41% | +0.76% | +0.51% | +0.90% | +1.96% | +3.23% | -0.94% | -0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:28:08 | $114.34 | -1.79% | -1.24% | -0.43% | -0.40% | -1.36% | +1.05% | -2.92% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:26:55 | $107.79 | -0.14% | -0.15% | +0.11% | +2.17% | +3.27% | +3.58% | -1.01% | -0.44% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:29:17 | $104.5 | +1.69% | +1.56% | +2.34% | +1.64% | -0.95% | +2.88% | -0.29% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:50 | $101.06 | -0.13% | -0.69% | -0.31% | -0.09% | -0.67% | +0.67% | -0.97% | +0.19% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:25:52 | $100.28 | -0.53% | +0.97% | +0.92% | +0.10% | -1.00% | +1.54% | -0.59% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:28:33 | $100.58 | -0.03% | -0.28% | +0.33% | +1.57% | +1.76% | +3.01% | -0.89% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:49 | $96.1 | +1.22% | +3.70% | +3.50% | +5.27% | +2.61% | +6.00% | -0.09% | +0.42% | WIN |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:27:05 | $101.99 | -0.36% | -1.33% | -0.73% | -1.85% | -3.09% | +0.50% | -0.36% | +0.01% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:17 | $96.95 | +0.55% | +1.16% | +1.61% | +2.74% | +5.97% | +6.93% | +0.20% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:25:34 | $98.96 | -0.03% | -0.29% | -1.49% | +0.90% | -2.26% | +2.34% | -2.54% | +0.43% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:48 | $90.55 | +0.78% | -0.19% | +0.27% | +0.21% | +6.05% | +6.49% | -0.72% | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:27:31 | $90.8 | +0.11% | -1.29% | -1.40% | -1.08% | -0.89% | +0.69% | -1.74% | -0.23% | WIN |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:37 | $87.17 | -0.61% | -0.32% | -0.72% | -0.10% | +2.26% | +2.32% | -0.79% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-23 | 09:28:48 | $85.57 | -0.33% | -0.46% | -0.37% | -0.26% | +0.62% | +0.74% | -0.71% | +0.27% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:27:58 | $84.94 | -0.24% | -0.38% | +0.33% | +0.71% | +1.72% | +1.88% | -0.61% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:40 | $85.12 | +0.86% | +0.40% | +0.32% | +0.01% | +0.31% | +2.09% | +1.89% | +2.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:16 | $82.69 | +0.70% | +1.54% | +3.24% | +2.59% | +2.94% | +3.51% | +0.37% | +0.62% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ BABA Shows Negative Expectancy
With 49.3% win rate and -0.02% average gain, BABA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BABA for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze BABA with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BABA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, BABA historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 BABA Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 49.3%, BABA shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests BABA may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: BABA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.02%). This suggests BABA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.