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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BABA

Trade-Ideas alerts 48.8% at 30-min n=938 2022-01-03 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each represents eight Ordinary Shares Services-Business Services, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2014 🔗 www.alibabagroup.com
💰 Market Cap: $263.33B 👥 Employees: 132,165
Alibaba is the world's largest online and mobile commerce company as measured by gross merchandise volume. It operates China's online marketplaces, including Taobao (consumer-to-consumer) and Tmall (business-to-consumer). The China retail e-commerce platform is the most valuable cash flow-generating business at Alibaba. Additional revenue sources include China wholesale e-commerce, international retail and wholesale e-commerce, local consumer services, travel services, cloud computing, digital media and entertainment, Cainiao logistics services, and other businesses.
Total alerts
938
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 30MIN
48.8%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 30MIN
+0.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.53%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BABA on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

Playable BABA setups

Historical BABA setups in the simulator. Click to see chart, edge stats, and community discussion.

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +2.38%
Worst: -3.31%
Trades: 454/479

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: +4.54%
Worst: -5.17%
Trades: 435/497

30MIN

Win Rate: 48.8%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.96%
Best: +8.64%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 457/476

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.18%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +9.82%
Worst: -8.26%
Trades: 447/487

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +1.50%
Avg Loser: -1.44%
Best: +13.68%
Worst: -9.51%
Trades: 457/478

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.53%
Best MFE: +14.50%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, BABA alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.62%
Worst MAE: -6.81%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.48:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.48x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 938 alerts, BABA typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 938
Gap Up % 46.1%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +2.06%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Services-Business Services, NEC

How BABA compares to 80 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BABA: -0.04% Sector: -0.09% +0.05%
EOD Gain
BABA: -0.00% Sector: +1127.26% -1127.26%
Avg MFE
BABA: +1.53% Sector: +3.61% -2.08%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BABA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $106.28 +0.08% -0.64% -0.44% +0.09% -0.40% +0.66% -0.77% +0.09% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $107.94 +0.80% +0.85% +0.92% -0.17% -0.45% +1.54% -0.18% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $108.68 -0.56% -0.61% -0.53% -0.21% -1.05% +0.20% -0.84% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $108.08 -0.02% -0.24% -0.19% +0.21% -0.31% +0.64% -0.36% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $109.89 +0.05% -0.24% -0.18% +0.03% -1.03% +0.21% -0.53% -0.23% WIN
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $111.13 -0.09% -0.50% -0.27% -0.88% -1.25% +0.09% -0.32% +0.01% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $111.88 -0.41% -0.58% -0.74% -1.08% -1.12% +0.15% +0.02% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $112.21 -0.13% -0.20% -0.62% -1.00% -1.26% +0.06% -0.13% -0.19% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $120.19 -0.59% -0.43% -0.87% -1.85% -3.23% +0.24% -0.32% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $115.66 -0.82% -1.42% -1.92% -1.57% +0.08% +0.47% -1.99% -0.46% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $110.95 +0.51% +0.82% +1.61% +1.74% +2.06% +2.54% -0.09% +0.04% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $107.97 -0.25% -0.30% -0.46% -0.09% +0.53% +1.08% -0.61% -0.00% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $108.79 -0.47% -1.05% -1.13% -1.25% -1.40% -0.09% -0.11% -0.17% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $109.74 +0.41% +0.58% +0.53% +0.19% -0.36% +1.38% -0.27% +0.02% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $108.0 +0.44% +0.35% +0.14% +0.17% +1.14% +2.25% -0.25% +0.26% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $109.93 -0.48% -0.35% +0.39% -0.18% -0.57% +0.69% -0.79% -0.33% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $107.9 +0.65% +0.16% +0.07% +0.47% +0.61% +1.20% -0.17% +0.68% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $111.85 -0.46% -0.68% -1.18% -1.40% -2.19% -0.04% -0.30% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $112.45 +0.32% -0.20% +0.11% +0.12% +0.19% +0.59% -1.05% +0.10% WIN
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $112.16 -0.04% +0.62% +0.44% +0.13% +0.96% +1.11% -0.17% +0.19% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ BABA Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.8% win rate and +0.00% average gain, BABA alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider BABA for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze BABA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BABA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BABA historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BABA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.8%, BABA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: BABA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at +0.00%). This suggests BABA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.