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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$CNQ

Trade-Ideas alerts 55.6% at EOD n=9 2022-06-22 → 2026-04-08

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 9 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Canadian Natural Resources Limited Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 31, 2000 🔗 www.cnrl.com
💰 Market Cap: $99.86B 👥 Employees: 10,750
Canadian Natural Resources is the largest producer of oil and the second-largest producer of natural gas in Canada. It is principally involved in extracting heavy oils, natural gas, and bitumen through its drilling and mining operations. Bitumen from mining operations is upgraded into synthetic crude oil. Commodities produced are primarily exported to the US via pipeline. The company also has smaller offshore production operations in the North Sea and Africa.
Total alerts
9
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
55.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
-0.20%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.11%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading CNQ on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.58%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.58%
Best: -0.02%
Worst: -1.45%
Trades: 0/9

15MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +2.67%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +2.67%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 1/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -0.75%
Avg Winner: +1.17%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: -3.12%
Trades: 2/7

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +1.21%
Avg Loser: -1.53%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -3.12%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.6%
Avg Gain: -0.20%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -1.70%
Best: +2.63%
Worst: -2.43%
Trades: 5/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.11%
Best MFE: +3.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 116 min

On average, CNQ alerts reach +1.11% profit potential within 116 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.45%
Worst MAE: -2.56%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.45%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.77:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, CNQ typically reaches +1.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.24%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

How CNQ compares to 70 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CNQ: -0.58% Sector: -0.18% -0.40%
EOD Gain
CNQ: -0.20% Sector: +33.00% -33.20%
Avg MFE
CNQ: +1.11% Sector: +3.46% -2.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CNQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-04-08 09:25:00 $45.82 -0.87% -0.56% -0.51% +0.20% +1.33% +1.44% -2.43% +0.05% LOSS
2026-03-17 09:25:00 $48.85 -0.14% -0.49% -0.51% -0.33% +0.27% +0.63% -0.16% +0.16% LOSS
2026-03-02 09:25:00 $45.45 -0.02% -0.95% -0.68% -2.19% -2.43% +0.87% -1.68% -0.28% LOSS
2026-02-24 09:25:00 $42.94 -1.21% -1.96% -1.84% -1.47% -0.82% -0.49% -2.21% -0.91% LOSS
2026-01-05 09:25:00 $32.74 -0.70% -2.66% -3.12% -3.12% -1.56% +0.82% -1.71% +0.24% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:01 $31.62 -1.45% -2.32% -1.50% -0.87% +0.76% +1.08% -2.56% -0.22% LOSS
2022-12-16 09:25:00 $53.5 -0.02% -1.25% -0.90% -1.20% -1.98% +0.31% -0.69% -0.36% LOSS
2022-07-19 09:25:00 $48.75 -0.08% +2.67% +1.81% +2.52% +2.63% +3.08% -0.37% -0.31% LOSS
2022-06-22 09:25:00 $52.04 -0.73% -0.46% +0.54% +0.92% +0.02% +2.29% -1.19% -0.61% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ CNQ Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 55.6% win rate, CNQ has -0.20% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making CNQ profitable.

🔧 Fix CNQ Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze CNQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CNQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CNQ historically offers an average upside of +1.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CNQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, CNQ shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.70%) outweigh average wins (+1.00%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: CNQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.20%). This suggests CNQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.