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SHEL Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 393 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-02-10
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SHEL alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 144 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.36%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.37x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 393 alerts, SHEL typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SHEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:28 | $65.78 | +0.33% | +0.30% | +0.14% | +0.38% | +0.53% | +0.79% | -0.08% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:29:48 | $66.23 | +0.27% | +0.40% | +0.21% | +0.05% | +0.33% | +0.77% | -0.16% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:27:40 | $65.96 | +0.03% | -0.47% | -0.49% | -0.91% | -1.55% | +0.26% | -0.12% | -0.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:29:33 | $64.0 | -0.02% | +0.27% | +0.51% | +0.55% | +1.12% | +1.20% | -0.30% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:26:01 | $64.65 | +0.42% | +0.70% | +1.04% | +0.73% | +0.15% | +1.05% | +0.14% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:25:42 | $63.0 | -0.03% | +0.41% | +0.24% | +0.41% | +0.16% | +0.52% | -0.21% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:29:34 | $61.92 | -0.19% | -0.23% | -0.13% | -0.36% | -0.23% | +0.08% | -0.58% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-27 | 09:26:34 | $61.65 | -0.19% | +0.22% | +0.45% | +0.38% | +0.06% | +0.75% | -0.36% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-06 | 09:26:35 | $64.29 | -0.11% | -1.10% | -1.14% | -1.39% | -1.62% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-05 | 09:25:03 | $64.32 | +0.05% | +0.39% | +0.05% | -0.34% | +0.05% | +0.47% | -0.61% | - | WIN |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:25:46 | $65.46 | -0.05% | -0.21% | -0.51% | -0.47% | -0.28% | +0.17% | -0.06% | +0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-22 | 09:28:28 | $65.78 | +0.12% | +0.27% | +0.46% | +0.30% | +0.38% | +0.67% | -0.15% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-11-15 | 09:26:47 | $65.51 | +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.24% | +0.35% | -0.06% | +0.40% | -0.14% | -0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-11-13 | 09:29:13 | $64.96 | -0.12% | -0.20% | -0.66% | -0.49% | +0.80% | +1.29% | -0.77% | +0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-12 | 09:27:43 | $65.75 | +0.21% | -0.10% | -0.40% | -0.67% | -0.27% | +0.40% | +0.08% | +0.14% | WIN |
| 2024-11-11 | 09:29:13 | $66.63 | -0.11% | +0.07% | +0.20% | -0.08% | +0.32% | +0.42% | -0.32% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-07 | 09:26:55 | $68.6 | -0.09% | -0.25% | -0.28% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.33% | -0.59% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:28:11 | $67.12 | +0.03% | -0.07% | -0.13% | +0.17% | +1.83% | +1.97% | -0.38% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2024-11-04 | 09:26:17 | $68.39 | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.05% | -0.10% | -0.95% | +0.22% | -0.35% | -0.29% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:29:58 | $68.01 | -0.09% | -0.26% | -0.24% | -0.12% | -0.76% | +0.12% | -0.14% | - | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SHEL Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.4% win rate, SHEL has -0.02% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SHEL profitable.
🔧 Fix SHEL Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SHEL with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SHEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SHEL historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SHEL Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.4%, SHEL shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.63%) outweigh average wins (+0.52%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SHEL shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.02%). This suggests SHEL is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.