Latest signal:
DVN Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 310 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-21
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, DVN alerts reach +1.84% profit potential within 130 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.90%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.04x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 310 alerts, DVN typically reaches +1.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
How DVN compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical DVN alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | 09:26:15 | $37.65 | -1.22% | -2.20% | -2.01% | -2.60% | -2.44% | - | -0.80% | -0.40% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:27:17 | $37.81 | -0.63% | -0.74% | -0.26% | +0.85% | +1.64% | +2.43% | -1.16% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:29:23 | $36.09 | +1.36% | +1.05% | +0.97% | +0.06% | -0.28% | +2.19% | +0.11% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:28:54 | $34.19 | +0.12% | +0.57% | +1.17% | +1.93% | -1.29% | +1.99% | -0.26% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:26:08 | $33.36 | -0.22% | +0.69% | +0.84% | +1.48% | +0.12% | +1.71% | -0.63% | +0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-31 | 09:28:22 | $32.1 | -0.03% | +0.19% | +1.04% | +1.37% | +1.96% | +2.12% | -0.65% | -0.47% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:27:37 | $30.62 | -0.15% | +0.42% | +0.93% | +0.47% | +0.49% | +1.67% | -0.75% | -0.56% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-20 | 09:29:08 | $37.98 | +0.55% | +1.04% | +1.92% | +1.05% | +0.84% | +2.12% | -0.13% | -0.08% | WIN |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:26:21 | $39.73 | -2.16% | -3.31% | -3.25% | -0.18% | +0.73% | +2.04% | -3.62% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2024-10-28 | 09:25:15 | $38.09 | +0.13% | +0.47% | +0.61% | +1.38% | +1.31% | +2.07% | -0.32% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-10-04 | 09:25:52 | $42.22 | +0.19% | -0.14% | +0.30% | +0.33% | +0.47% | +0.76% | -0.21% | +0.43% | WIN |
| 2024-09-26 | 09:29:21 | $39.2 | -0.48% | -0.40% | -1.12% | -0.80% | -3.39% | +0.51% | -0.26% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-09-24 | 09:26:03 | $41.75 | -0.43% | -0.25% | -0.79% | -0.57% | -1.77% | +0.31% | -0.46% | +0.24% | LOSS |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:26:06 | $41.62 | -0.07% | -1.35% | -1.49% | -0.50% | -0.34% | +1.30% | -1.80% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-11 | 09:29:33 | $54.6 | -0.24% | -0.48% | -0.60% | -1.52% | -1.28% | +0.60% | -0.31% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-02 | 09:26:45 | $51.26 | -0.04% | +0.04% | +0.60% | +0.41% | +0.70% | +0.76% | -0.77% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:27:07 | $51.14 | -0.80% | -0.98% | -1.32% | -0.68% | -0.37% | +0.12% | -1.60% | -0.43% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-26 | 09:26:00 | $46.43 | -0.11% | -0.36% | -0.22% | -0.08% | +0.50% | +1.10% | -0.65% | -0.37% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:27:00 | $45.64 | +0.88% | +0.37% | +0.85% | -0.05% | -0.88% | +1.13% | -0.39% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-12-15 | 09:28:00 | $44.9 | -0.13% | -0.65% | -0.73% | -1.25% | -0.07% | +0.02% | -1.40% | -0.87% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ DVN Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 51.6% win rate, DVN has -0.13% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making DVN profitable.
🔧 Fix DVN Risk/Reward →Why Analyze DVN with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for DVN. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, DVN historically offers an average upside of +1.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 DVN Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 51.6%, DVN shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.10%) outweigh average wins (+1.70%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: DVN shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.13%). This suggests DVN is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.