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OXY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 599 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Occidental Petroleum Corporation CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.oxy.com
💰 Market Cap: $43.45B 👥 Employees: 13,323
Occidental Petroleum is an independent exploration and production company with operations in the United States, Latin America, and the Middle East. At the end of 2023, the company reported net proved reserves of nearly 4 billion barrels of oil equivalent. Net production averaged 1.327 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2024 at a ratio of roughly 52% oil and natural gas liquids and 48% natural gas.
📊
599
Total Alerts
🎯
51.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.06%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.62%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 281/308

15MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.75%
Best: +4.06%
Worst: -4.75%
Trades: 294/300

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.00%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +5.16%
Worst: -4.98%
Trades: 307/289

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.20%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +7.38%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 286/309

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.6%
Avg Gain: +0.01%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +15.51%
Worst: -8.76%
Trades: 279/317

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.62%
Best MFE: +16.15%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, OXY alerts reach +1.62% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.63%
Worst MAE: -7.23%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.63%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 599 alerts, OXY typically reaches +1.62% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 599
Gap Up % 40.6%
Avg Gap -0.06%
Best Gap +1.47%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How OXY compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OXY: -0.02% Sector: -0.16% +0.14%
EOD Gain
OXY: +0.02% Sector: +59.69% -59.68%
Avg MFE
OXY: +1.62% Sector: +2.88% -1.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OXY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:32 $48.28 +0.66% +1.51% +1.03% +0.08% -0.46% +1.67% -0.25% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:43 $47.95 +0.06% -0.21% +0.17% -0.10% -0.15% +0.44% -0.29% +0.08% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:28 $49.0 -1.37% -1.05% -0.84% -0.15% -2.39% +0.10% -0.24% +0.06% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:43 $48.95 +0.14% -0.31% -0.50% -0.65% -0.69% +0.76% -0.86% -0.47% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:08 $47.21 +0.15% +0.51% +0.74% +1.14% +2.48% +2.82% -0.23% -0.23% WIN
2025-02-04 09:25:32 $46.05 +0.48% +1.11% +2.26% +3.03% +3.34% +3.69% -0.02% +0.17% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:37 $46.86 -1.90% -1.00% -1.58% -0.83% -1.05% -0.02% -0.15% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:27:43 $48.26 -1.47% -2.13% -2.53% -2.09% -3.34% +0.02% -0.04% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:46 $49.86 -0.54% -0.04% -0.68% -1.18% -1.72% +0.06% -0.77% -0.14% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:01 $49.11 +0.51% +0.62% +0.98% +1.20% +0.92% +1.83% +0.16% +0.20% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:19 $50.22 +0.33% -0.06% -0.22% +0.54% -0.04% +1.29% -0.54% +0.36% WIN
2025-01-21 09:26:21 $51.69 -0.58% -1.59% -1.99% -2.61% -2.21% +0.02% -0.12% -0.46% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:37 $52.42 -0.40% -0.69% -0.78% -0.93% +0.53% +0.69% -1.34% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:57 $52.35 +0.80% +0.65% -0.13% -0.52% -0.52% +0.94% -0.08% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:22 $51.71 +0.18% +0.61% +1.01% +1.36% +1.88% +2.88% -0.50% -0.33% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:58 $52.19 +0.42% -0.06% +0.19% -0.14% -1.71% +0.67% -0.36% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-08 09:28:09 $51.26 -0.41% -0.64% -1.09% -0.94% -0.14% - -0.74% -0.51% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:06 $51.04 +0.22% -0.51% -0.06% +1.03% +1.00% +1.74% -0.74% -0.10% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:33 $51.32 -0.06% +0.03% +0.67% +0.86% -1.07% +1.03% -0.64% - LOSS
2025-01-02 09:25:55 $50.05 -0.31% +0.54% +0.70% +0.70% -0.48% +1.54% -0.56% +0.10% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 51.3% Baseline on OXY

The 51.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OXY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OXY Strategy →

Why Analyze OXY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OXY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OXY historically offers an average upside of +1.62% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OXY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 51.3%, OXY shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OXY performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.