Latest signal:
EC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 26 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-31 → 2024-12-03
⚠️ Small sample size (26 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, EC alerts reach +1.05% profit potential within 104 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.38%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 26 alerts, EC typically reaches +1.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical EC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-03 | 09:28:32 | $7.94 | +0.88% | +0.48% | +0.63% | -0.19% | +0.38% | +1.13% | +0.13% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2024-08-05 | 09:29:02 | $9.55 | -1.62% | -1.07% | -0.58% | -0.47% | +1.78% | +2.20% | -2.15% | -1.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-12 | 09:28:54 | $12.03 | +0.42% | +1.08% | +0.33% | +0.87% | -2.74% | +1.41% | -0.17% | +0.42% | WIN |
| 2024-04-05 | 09:29:53 | $11.93 | +2.64% | +1.34% | +1.63% | +1.38% | +1.84% | +2.85% | -0.25% | +0.42% | WIN |
| 2024-04-04 | 09:25:44 | $12.05 | +0.25% | -1.16% | +0.58% | +0.91% | +0.66% | +2.07% | -2.07% | +0.25% | WIN |
| 2024-04-03 | 09:28:30 | $12.85 | -0.31% | -0.82% | -1.21% | -0.08% | +0.31% | +0.39% | -1.56% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-01 | 09:29:21 | $12.04 | -1.83% | -0.83% | -0.87% | -0.38% | +0.58% | +0.75% | -1.99% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-04 | 09:25:51 | $11.22 | -1.07% | -2.41% | -3.74% | -4.01% | -4.01% | +0.18% | - | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-01 | 09:29:34 | $11.58 | -0.82% | -1.04% | -1.21% | -2.00% | -1.90% | +0.78% | -2.85% | +0.17% | LOSS |
| 2023-12-19 | 09:29:00 | $12.14 | -0.78% | -0.82% | -1.47% | -0.41% | -1.24% | +0.08% | -0.41% | - | LOSS |
| 2023-12-18 | 09:29:00 | $13.02 | +0.31% | +0.08% | - | -0.12% | -0.84% | +0.92% | -0.31% | -0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-10-16 | 09:28:00 | $12.46 | -1.04% | -2.01% | -2.01% | -1.52% | -0.88% | -0.56% | -2.33% | -1.28% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:26:00 | $11.7 | -2.65% | -3.33% | -3.21% | -2.95% | -2.82% | - | - | -0.68% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-25 | 09:28:00 | $12.66 | -0.91% | -0.71% | +0.51% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +0.63% | -0.99% | -0.08% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-31 | 09:29:00 | $9.14 | -1.59% | -0.82% | -0.82% | -1.37% | -0.66% | -0.38% | -2.30% | -0.98% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-02 | 09:28:00 | $9.49 | -2.32% | -2.90% | -3.90% | -4.95% | -7.27% | -0.95% | -1.90% | -2.11% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-26 | 09:26:00 | $9.87 | -1.42% | -0.76% | -1.94% | -4.00% | -3.95% | +0.41% | +0.16% | -0.20% | LOSS |
| 2023-04-03 | 09:26:00 | $11.03 | +0.54% | +1.36% | +1.07% | +0.73% | +1.00% | +2.18% | -0.09% | +0.18% | WIN |
| 2023-03-17 | 09:29:00 | $9.95 | +0.28% | +0.20% | -0.20% | -1.61% | -0.60% | +1.11% | +0.50% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2023-03-13 | 09:25:00 | $10.68 | -1.61% | -2.90% | -1.83% | -1.40% | -2.81% | +1.03% | -3.74% | -1.12% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ EC Shows Negative Expectancy
With 42.3% win rate and -0.87% average gain, EC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EC for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze EC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, EC historically offers an average upside of +1.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 EC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 42.3%, EC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: EC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.87%). This suggests EC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.