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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$EXE

Trade-Ideas alerts 33.3% at 5-min n=3 2026-06-08 → 2026-09-14

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 10, 2021 🔗 www.expandenergy.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.80B 👥 Employees: 1,600
Expand Energy is a North American natural gas producer in the Haynesville and Appalachian basins, formed by the combination of Chesapeake and Southwestern. Its largest operation by volume is the Haynesville basin in Louisiana, which is heavily exposed to nearby LNG production. Appalachia benefits from its proximity to population centers in the Northeast and mid-Atlantic regions.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
33.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
-0.21%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.21%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading EXE on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.06%
Avg Loser: -0.69%
Best: +0.06%
Worst: -0.69%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.05%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: -0.11%
Worst: -1.64%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.90%
Avg Winner: +0.12%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: +0.12%
Worst: -1.94%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.90%
Avg Winner: +0.03%
Avg Loser: -1.37%
Best: +0.03%
Worst: -1.65%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.79%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.79%
Best: -0.02%
Worst: -2.96%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.21%
Best MFE: +0.73%
Avg Time to MFE: 108 min

On average, EXE alerts reach +0.21% profit potential within 108 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.66%
Worst MAE: -0.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 31 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.32:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, EXE typically reaches +0.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.25%
Best Gap +0.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How EXE compares to 70 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
EXE: -0.21% Sector: -0.18% -0.03%
EOD Gain
EXE: -1.79% Sector: +33.00% -34.79%
Avg MFE
EXE: +0.21% Sector: +3.46% -3.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical EXE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $96.25 +0.00% -1.64% -1.94% -1.65% -2.96% +0.29% -0.31% +0.08% LOSS
2026-07-16 09:25:00 $88.2 +0.06% -0.11% +0.12% +0.03% -0.02% +0.73% -0.76% -0.24% WIN
2026-06-08 09:25:00 $92.63 -0.69% -1.41% -0.87% -1.10% -2.39% -0.39% -0.92% -0.60% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ EXE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -0.21% average gain, EXE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider EXE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze EXE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for EXE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, EXE historically offers an average upside of +0.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 EXE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, EXE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests EXE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: EXE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.21%). This suggests EXE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.