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FISV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2023-06-01

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC (SIC 7389)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 25, 1986 🔗 www.fiserv.com
💰 Market Cap: $36.34B 👥 Employees: 38,000
Fiserv is a leading provider of core processing and complementary services, such as electronic funds transfer, payment processing, and loan processing, for US banks and credit unions, with a focus on small and midsize banks. Following its 2019 merger with First Data, Fiserv also provides payment processing services to merchants. About 10% of the company's revenue is generated internationally.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.03%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.18%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +1.54%
Worst: -1.30%
Trades: 7/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.78%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -0.27%
Best: +2.65%
Worst: -0.60%
Trades: 7/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -0.56%
Best: +4.56%
Worst: -1.07%
Trades: 8/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +2.98%
Worst: -0.91%
Trades: 6/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.93%
Avg Winner: +1.91%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -0.73%
Trades: 6/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.18%
Best MFE: +4.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 198 min

On average, FISV alerts reach +2.18% profit potential within 198 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -1.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, FISV typically reaches +2.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 70.0%
Avg Gap +0.28%
Best Gap +1.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How FISV compares to 59 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
FISV: +0.36% Sector: -0.05% +0.40%
EOD Gain
FISV: +0.93% Sector: +1758.96% -1758.03%
Avg MFE
FISV: +2.18% Sector: +2.89% -0.71%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical FISV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-01 09:27:00 $111.02 +1.54% +1.06% +0.94% +1.11% +1.56% +1.99% +0.52% +0.97% WIN
2023-05-19 09:28:00 $120.42 +0.02% -0.05% -0.05% -0.17% -0.73% +0.34% -0.11% +0.06% WIN
2023-03-22 09:28:00 $112.05 +0.48% +0.80% +0.97% +1.06% -0.62% +2.06% +0.01% +0.67% WIN
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $108.49 +0.79% +1.53% +1.92% +2.46% +1.88% +3.51% -1.37% -0.39% WIN
2022-07-26 09:25:00 $99.06 -0.30% +2.65% +4.56% +2.98% +3.19% +4.93% -1.15% +0.88% LOSS
2022-07-15 09:25:00 $92.88 +0.78% +1.06% +0.66% +0.79% +1.38% +2.08% +0.17% +0.53% WIN
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $90.05 +0.51% -0.60% +0.30% -0.14% +1.79% +2.08% -0.88% +0.02% WIN
2022-04-06 09:25:00 $101.0 +1.11% +1.37% +1.57% +1.63% +1.65% +2.62% - +1.19% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $100.06 -0.06% +0.13% +0.46% -0.17% -0.52% +2.27% -0.99% -0.39% LOSS
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $108.66 -1.30% -0.17% -1.07% -0.91% -0.28% -0.07% -1.53% -0.74% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on FISV

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push FISV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize FISV Strategy →

Why Analyze FISV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for FISV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, FISV historically offers an average upside of +2.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 FISV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, FISV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show FISV performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.