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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$MELI

Trade-Ideas alerts 66.7% at 15-min n=3 2026-02-25 → 2026-03-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 3 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 10, 2007 🔗 www.mercadolibre.com
💰 Market Cap: $86.01B 👥 Employees: 123,670
MercadoLibre is the largest e-commerce marketplace in Latin America, with more than 120 million unique active buyers and 1 million active sellers at the end of 2025. The company is roughly split between its e-commerce business, which includes its fulfillment and advertising services, and its fintech segment, which comprises its rapidly expanding payment and digital wallet platform (Mercado Pago) and its lending business (Mercado Credito). While the company operates in 18 countries, its primary markets are Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico, which account for more than 95% of its revenue.
Total alerts
3
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 15MIN
66.7%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 15MIN
-0.36%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.53%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MELI on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.05%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -2.21%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -4.25%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -2.99%
Best: +1.04%
Worst: -2.99%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.62%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -1.99%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -1.93%
Best: +0.75%
Worst: -3.26%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.30%
Avg Winner: +1.28%
Avg Loser: -1.67%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.53%
Best MFE: +2.14%
Avg Time to MFE: 121 min

On average, MELI alerts reach +1.53% profit potential within 121 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.70%
Worst MAE: -1.53%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.21:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.21x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MELI typically reaches +1.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap -0.57%
Best Gap +0.20%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

How MELI compares to 80 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MELI: -1.05% Sector: -0.09% -0.96%
EOD Gain
MELI: +0.30% Sector: +1127.26% -1126.96%
Avg MFE
MELI: +1.53% Sector: +3.61% -2.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MELI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-03-30 09:25:00 $1604.79 -0.17% +0.87% +0.38% +0.75% +0.90% +1.79% -0.41% +0.20% LOSS
2026-03-03 09:25:00 $1685.92 +1.28% +1.04% -0.24% -0.59% +1.67% +2.14% -1.53% +0.18% WIN
2026-02-25 09:25:00 $1797.74 -4.25% -2.99% -1.99% -3.26% -1.67% +0.67% -0.15% -2.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ MELI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, MELI has -0.36% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making MELI profitable.

🔧 Fix MELI Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze MELI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MELI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MELI historically offers an average upside of +1.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MELI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, MELI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.99%) outweigh average wins (+0.96%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MELI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.36%). This suggests MELI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.