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MNR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-09-06 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mach Natural Resources LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 25, 2023 🔗 www.machresources.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.93B 👥 Employees: 505
Mach Natural Resources LP is an independent upstream oil and gas company. The company is focused on the acquisition, development and production of oil, natural gas, and NGL reserves in the Anadarko Basin region of Western Oklahoma, Southern Kansas, and the panhandle of Texas.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.09%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.09%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: +0.65%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.37%
Worst: +0.62%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.58%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.16%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.75%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.34%
Worst: +0.16%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -1.22%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.02%
Best MFE: +2.37%
Avg Time to MFE: 6 min

On average, MNR alerts reach +2.02% profit potential within 6 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.15%
Worst MAE: -0.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

13.53:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 13.53x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, MNR typically reaches +2.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.28%
Best Gap +0.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How MNR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MNR: +1.09% Sector: -0.16% +1.25%
EOD Gain
MNR: -0.61% Sector: +59.69% -60.30%
Avg MFE
MNR: +2.02% Sector: +2.88% -0.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MNR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:01 $16.12 +0.65% +0.62% - +0.16% - +1.67% +0.25% +0.25% WIN
2024-09-06 09:28:44 $16.45 +1.52% +1.37% +1.16% +1.34% -1.22% +2.37% -0.55% +0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MNR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MNR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MNR Strategy →

Why Analyze MNR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MNR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MNR historically offers an average upside of +2.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MNR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MNR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MNR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.09%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.