Latest signal:
MP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 27 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-24 → 2025-02-05
⚠️ Small sample size (27 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MP alerts reach +2.71% profit potential within 133 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.67%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 27 alerts, MP typically reaches +2.71% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: METAL MINING
How MP compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-05 | 09:26:23 | $24.47 | -2.62% | -3.80% | -4.47% | -3.51% | -3.72% | +0.93% | +0.93% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:26:04 | $22.49 | +3.38% | +3.60% | +3.07% | +4.49% | +8.80% | +10.18% | +0.04% | +0.62% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:18 | $22.39 | -0.10% | +4.64% | +1.70% | +0.40% | -0.71% | +5.72% | -1.30% | -0.18% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-10 | 09:27:20 | $20.17 | -1.19% | -1.69% | -2.58% | -3.17% | -3.12% | +0.40% | -0.30% | +0.40% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-04 | 09:27:26 | $23.22 | +0.98% | +0.30% | -0.06% | -2.73% | -9.00% | +1.64% | -0.47% | -0.04% | WIN |
| 2024-12-03 | 09:25:08 | $23.48 | -2.47% | -0.77% | +0.34% | -1.41% | -1.58% | +2.26% | -4.16% | -1.75% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-06 | 09:26:56 | $19.35 | +0.83% | +0.79% | -0.83% | +0.78% | +1.71% | +2.69% | +0.62% | +0.98% | WIN |
| 2024-04-30 | 09:28:20 | $16.13 | -1.74% | -1.12% | -1.24% | -1.18% | -0.81% | -0.28% | -2.29% | -0.81% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-10 | 09:29:21 | $16.92 | +0.24% | +0.47% | +0.59% | +2.87% | +2.90% | +3.49% | -1.42% | -0.06% | WIN |
| 2024-03-15 | 09:26:11 | $13.76 | +0.87% | +2.30% | +0.73% | +0.44% | +1.02% | +2.47% | -0.07% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2024-03-13 | 09:25:22 | $14.58 | -1.17% | +1.99% | +1.51% | -0.03% | -3.64% | +2.54% | -1.17% | -0.21% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-05 | 09:26:39 | $15.75 | -1.27% | -2.35% | -2.91% | -2.73% | -9.40% | -0.06% | -0.19% | -0.25% | LOSS |
| 2024-03-04 | 09:26:17 | $15.66 | -0.51% | -2.34% | -3.96% | -2.27% | -0.83% | +0.06% | -4.09% | -1.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-02 | 00:00:00 | $16.64 | - | - | - | - | +3.31% | +4.06% | -2.88% | -0.06% | - |
| 2023-12-22 | 09:25:00 | $20.59 | -1.14% | +0.63% | +0.05% | -2.93% | -2.43% | +1.09% | -1.60% | -0.63% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-06 | 09:25:00 | $24.9 | -0.80% | -0.41% | -2.61% | -3.88% | -2.41% | +0.72% | -1.93% | -0.80% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-05 | 09:29:00 | $25.73 | -2.14% | -3.87% | -2.57% | -3.30% | -4.59% | +0.19% | -1.32% | -0.62% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-02 | 09:26:00 | $31.8 | -1.54% | -2.57% | -2.07% | -3.40% | +0.28% | +1.37% | -4.09% | -0.28% | LOSS |
| 2022-09-13 | 09:25:00 | $32.19 | -1.71% | +0.37% | +2.21% | +1.58% | +0.56% | +2.70% | -2.05% | -1.55% | LOSS |
| 2022-07-25 | 09:25:00 | $30.64 | -0.24% | -1.27% | +0.03% | +0.20% | +1.73% | +2.84% | -3.90% | -0.33% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 53.8% win rate, MP has -0.05% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making MP profitable.
🔧 Fix MP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze MP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MP historically offers an average upside of +2.71% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 53.8%, MP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.81%) outweigh average wins (+1.46%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.05%). This suggests MP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.