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VALE Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 692 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, VALE alerts reach +1.14% profit potential within 132 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.61x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 692 alerts, VALE typically reaches +1.14% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical VALE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-14 | 09:26:27 | $9.69 | +0.31% | +0.27% | +0.36% | +0.26% | +0.72% | +1.34% | -0.41% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-13 | 09:29:27 | $9.4 | +0.05% | +0.37% | +0.59% | +0.91% | +1.81% | +1.91% | -0.43% | +0.11% | WIN |
| 2025-02-12 | 09:29:26 | $9.57 | +0.37% | +0.26% | +0.47% | +0.05% | -0.10% | +0.63% | -0.26% | +0.10% | WIN |
| 2025-02-11 | 09:26:34 | $9.52 | +0.05% | -0.16% | -0.32% | - | +0.53% | +0.84% | -0.42% | - | WIN |
| 2025-02-10 | 09:27:53 | $9.53 | +0.10% | -0.29% | +0.05% | +0.10% | +0.31% | +0.73% | -0.42% | -0.31% | WIN |
| 2025-02-07 | 09:25:48 | $9.64 | +0.16% | -0.26% | -0.16% | -0.57% | -1.76% | +0.41% | +0.10% | +0.41% | WIN |
| 2025-02-06 | 09:25:56 | $9.59 | +0.26% | +0.31% | +0.31% | +0.16% | +0.21% | +0.94% | -0.31% | +0.21% | WIN |
| 2025-02-05 | 09:29:24 | $9.37 | -0.12% | -0.05% | +0.16% | +0.43% | - | +0.85% | -0.32% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-02-04 | 09:28:05 | $9.37 | +0.37% | +0.80% | +0.75% | +0.53% | +0.64% | +1.07% | +0.14% | +0.53% | WIN |
| 2025-02-03 | 09:26:28 | $9.19 | -0.38% | -0.33% | -0.44% | +0.44% | +1.85% | +2.07% | -0.82% | -0.33% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-31 | 09:25:15 | $9.44 | -0.32% | -0.37% | -0.26% | -0.16% | -1.59% | +0.74% | -0.69% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-30 | 09:29:02 | $9.16 | +0.27% | +1.15% | +0.66% | +1.58% | +2.51% | +3.93% | -0.11% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-29 | 09:27:07 | $9.02 | +0.33% | +0.33% | +0.72% | +1.21% | +0.55% | +1.66% | -0.29% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-28 | 09:25:44 | $9.11 | -0.27% | -0.38% | -0.34% | -0.55% | -0.88% | +0.11% | -0.00% | -0.11% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:29:29 | $8.97 | -0.17% | +0.33% | +0.48% | +0.99% | +2.12% | +2.45% | -0.45% | -0.17% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-24 | 09:27:28 | $9.02 | -0.17% | -0.11% | -0.44% | +0.06% | -0.44% | +0.67% | -0.55% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:27:38 | $9.03 | -0.17% | +0.11% | - | +0.33% | -1.77% | +0.78% | -0.78% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:29:49 | $8.98 | -0.34% | -0.98% | -1.11% | -0.61% | - | +0.33% | -1.56% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:27:34 | $8.86 | +0.96% | +0.85% | +0.96% | +1.25% | +0.90% | +2.37% | -0.11% | - | WIN |
| 2025-01-16 | 09:25:13 | $8.71 | +0.29% | +0.40% | +1.03% | +1.21% | +0.69% | +1.61% | -0.17% | +0.34% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ VALE Shows Negative Expectancy
With 47.4% win rate and -0.01% average gain, VALE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider VALE for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze VALE with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for VALE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, VALE historically offers an average upside of +1.14% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 VALE Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 47.4%, VALE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests VALE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: VALE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.01%). This suggests VALE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.