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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$BHP

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.5% at 5-min n=449 2022-01-04 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

BHP Group Limited American Depositary Shares (Each representing two Ordinary Shares) Metal Mining (SIC 1000)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 28, 1987 🔗 www.bhp.com
💰 Market Cap: $218.74B 👥 Employees: 90,000
BHP is a global diversified miner mainly supplying iron ore and copper. The merger of BHP Limited and Billiton PLC created the present-day BHP Group. The dual-listed structure from the 2001 BHP and Billiton merger was collapsed in 2022. Major assets include Pilbara iron ore and Escondida copper. Onshore US oil and gas assets were sold in 2018, and the remaining petroleum assets were spun off and merged with Woodside in 2022, with BHP vesting the Woodside shares it received to BHP shareholders. It purchased copper miner Oz Minerals in fiscal 2023 and half of the Vicuña copper joint venture in fiscal 2025. It is entering the potash market through the development of its Jansen project in Canada. However, due to low prices, BHP placed its nickel business on care and maintenance in 2024.
Total alerts
449
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
54.5%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.03%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.08%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading BHP on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 54.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +1.29%
Worst: -2.49%
Trades: 244/194

15MIN

Win Rate: 51.6%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -0.48%
Best: +1.95%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 231/213

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.33%
Worst: -2.42%
Trades: 235/210

60MIN

Win Rate: 51.3%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.84%
Worst: -2.92%
Trades: 230/217

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 53.9%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +4.33%
Worst: -4.48%
Trades: 242/206

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.08%
Best MFE: +5.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, BHP alerts reach +1.08% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.38%
Worst MAE: -3.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.82:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.82x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 449 alerts, BHP typically reaches +1.08% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 449
Gap Up % 55.7%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +2.13%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Metal Mining

How BHP compares to 21 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BHP: +0.03% Sector: -0.17% +0.20%
EOD Gain
BHP: +0.19% Sector: +0.68% -0.49%
Avg MFE
BHP: +1.08% Sector: +3.11% -2.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BHP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $84.66 +0.31% +1.33% +1.37% +0.89% +1.67% +2.13% -0.35% -0.12% WIN
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $83.66 +0.16% -0.11% +0.85% +0.05% +1.18% +1.28% -0.43% -0.13% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $85.43 -0.05% -0.47% -0.25% +1.63% -0.69% +2.86% -0.68% +0.15% LOSS
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $85.43 -0.04% -0.68% -0.62% -0.16% -0.71% +0.17% -0.25% +0.02% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $83.43 -0.43% -0.25% +0.36% +0.86% +1.38% +1.82% -0.60% -0.24% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $84.42 +0.08% +0.52% +0.30% +0.17% +0.65% +1.02% -0.25% +0.06% WIN
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $84.94 -0.29% -0.08% +0.01% +0.01% +0.18% +0.49% -0.68% -0.05% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $86.03 -0.42% -0.42% -1.13% -0.93% -1.26% +0.08% -0.12% -0.27% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $86.71 -0.38% +0.03% +0.12% +0.46% +1.29% +1.85% -0.47% -0.13% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $86.46 -0.13% -0.84% -0.87% -0.76% -0.22% +0.10% -0.02% -0.02% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $85.89 +0.14% -0.12% +0.57% +0.95% +0.78% +1.21% -0.27% -0.06% WIN
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $86.37 -0.32% -0.70% -0.74% -1.05% -2.58% +0.07% +0.02% -0.25% LOSS
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $83.54 +0.14% -0.02% +0.13% +0.29% +1.44% +2.15% -0.22% +0.32% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $87.92 -0.06% +0.15% -0.02% -0.60% -0.88% +0.32% -0.32% +0.14% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $87.59 -0.13% -0.64% -0.29% -0.17% -0.27% +0.76% -0.33% +0.22% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $93.07 -0.29% -0.44% +0.35% -0.03% -1.16% +0.58% -0.56% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $89.55 +0.47% +0.31% +0.09% +0.31% +0.97% +1.64% -0.26% -0.08% WIN
2026-09-03 09:25:00 $94.45 -0.64% -1.62% -1.88% -1.67% -1.84% +0.05% +0.05% +0.04% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $93.24 -0.28% -0.10% +0.01% +0.94% -0.45% +1.13% -0.40% -0.23% LOSS
2026-08-27 09:25:00 $95.26 +0.40% +0.22% +0.52% +0.44% +1.17% +1.64% -0.11% +0.27% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.5% Baseline on BHP

The 54.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push BHP's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BHP Strategy →

Why Analyze BHP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BHP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BHP historically offers an average upside of +1.08% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BHP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.5%, BHP shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BHP performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.