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RIO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 325 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-01-28

🏢 Company Profile

Rio Tinto plc
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 28, 1990 🔗 www.riotinto.com
💰 Market Cap: $180.56B 👥 Employees: 59,594
Rio Tinto is a global diversified miner. Iron ore is the dominant commodity, with significantly lesser contributions from copper, aluminum, diamonds, gold, and industrial minerals. The 1995 merger of RTZ and CRA, via a dual-listed structure, created the present-day company. The two operate as a single business entity, with shareholders in each company having equivalent economic and voting rights. Major assets included the Pilbara iron ore operations, a 30% stake in the Escondida copper mine, 66%-ownership of the Oyu Tolgoi copper mine in Mongolia, the Weipa and Gove bauxite mines in Australia, and six hydro-powered aluminum smelters in Canada.
📊
325
Total Alerts
🎯
53.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.99%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 53.2%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.21%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +1.06%
Worst: -0.75%
Trades: 173/149

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.2%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.53%
Worst: -2.26%
Trades: 163/159

30MIN

Win Rate: 51.1%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +2.32%
Worst: -2.68%
Trades: 166/154

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.67%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: +2.71%
Worst: -3.45%
Trades: 156/165

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 51.4%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -0.90%
Best: +4.44%
Worst: -4.36%
Trades: 167/156

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.99%
Best MFE: +4.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, RIO alerts reach +0.99% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.38%
Worst MAE: -2.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.58:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.58x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 325 alerts, RIO typically reaches +0.99% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 325
Gap Up % 46.8%
Avg Gap +0.02%
Best Gap +3.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RIO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:29:05 $60.79 -0.46% -0.38% -0.64% -0.83% -1.46% +0.30% -0.35% - LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:01 $60.85 -0.20% +0.46% +1.09% +1.03% +0.41% +1.54% -0.28% +0.15% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:29:54 $60.4 -0.13% +0.07% -0.08% -0.07% -1.01% +1.41% -1.99% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:02 $57.96 +0.10% -0.04% +0.36% +0.55% +1.16% +1.29% -0.19% -0.05% WIN
2025-01-06 09:28:38 $58.65 +0.34% +0.56% +0.84% +0.53% -0.46% +0.95% +0.07% +0.17% WIN
2024-12-09 09:27:29 $65.36 -0.11% -0.39% +0.29% +0.34% -0.72% +0.84% -0.55% -0.03% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:27:59 $64.8 -0.29% -0.69% -0.63% -0.79% -0.57% +0.28% -0.22% +0.19% LOSS
2024-10-22 09:27:53 $65.16 +0.05% -0.23% -0.15% - +0.49% +0.51% -0.28% +0.11% WIN
2024-10-17 09:25:48 $64.73 -0.39% -0.62% -0.23% -0.28% +0.56% +0.61% -0.92% -0.12% LOSS
2024-10-15 09:26:38 $66.44 +0.33% -0.05% +0.23% +0.27% +0.05% +0.57% -0.07% +0.12% WIN
2024-10-14 09:29:26 $66.64 +0.12% +1.19% +1.20% +0.98% +1.59% +1.70% -0.08% +0.10% WIN
2024-10-08 09:27:20 $66.39 -0.16% +0.05% -0.03% -0.06% +0.41% +0.45% -0.38% -0.13% LOSS
2024-09-30 09:29:04 $71.54 -0.29% -0.42% -0.41% -0.53% -0.52% -0.08% -0.32% -0.10% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:12 $70.27 +0.07% -0.03% +0.15% +0.09% +0.68% +1.15% -0.28% +0.01% WIN
2024-09-25 09:25:09 $67.97 -0.28% -0.44% -0.54% -0.37% -0.44% +0.04% +0.04% -0.04% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:25:01 $67.74 +0.07% -0.01% -0.35% -0.37% -0.47% +0.16% -0.72% +0.04% WIN
2024-09-19 09:28:11 $65.36 -0.58% -0.76% -0.79% -0.69% -0.28% +0.21% -0.40% +0.21% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:25:49 $60.52 +0.13% +0.33% +0.33% +0.30% -0.21% +0.56% - +0.02% WIN
2024-09-03 09:27:23 $60.95 -0.05% -0.21% -0.56% -0.85% -1.00% +0.20% -0.13% +0.08% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:28:04 $62.5 +0.02% -0.27% -0.42% +0.22% -0.10% +0.34% -0.50% +0.02% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 53.2% Baseline on RIO

The 53.2% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RIO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RIO Strategy →

Why Analyze RIO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RIO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RIO historically offers an average upside of +0.99% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RIO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 53.2%, RIO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RIO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.02%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.