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PARR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-10-10 → 2024-11-14

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Dec 03, 1982 🔗 www.parpacific.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.77B 👥 Employees: 1,787
Par Pacific Holdings Inc is an oil and gas company that manages and maintains interests in energy and infrastructure businesses. The company has three reportable segments namely Refining, Under its refining business, the company produces ultra-low-sulfur diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, marine fuel, LSFO, and other associated refined products. Its Retail includes operation licenses out brands to serve the retail consumer. Through the Logistics segment, crude shipments are delivered to the refineries, in addition to finished products that are exported. It generates maximum revenue from the Refining segment.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.97%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.57%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.97%
Avg Winner: +0.97%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.37%
Worst: +0.57%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.83%
Avg Loser: -0.80%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.34%
Best: -0.22%
Worst: -2.45%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: -0.41%
Worst: -1.31%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: -0.17%
Worst: -0.71%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.57%
Best MFE: +2.57%
Avg Time to MFE: 13 min

On average, PARR alerts reach +1.57% profit potential within 13 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.75%
Worst MAE: +0.46%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.75%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, PARR typically reaches +1.57% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.94%
Best Gap +1.37%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How PARR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PARR: +0.97% Sector: -0.16% +1.13%
EOD Gain
PARR: -0.44% Sector: +59.69% -60.13%
Avg MFE
PARR: +1.57% Sector: +2.88% -1.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PARR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-14 09:25:18 $17.52 +0.57% -0.80% -2.45% -1.31% -0.17% +0.57% +0.46% +0.51% WIN
2022-10-10 09:25:00 $18.31 +1.37% +1.83% -0.22% -0.41% -0.71% +2.57% +1.04% +1.37% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on PARR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PARR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PARR Strategy →

Why Analyze PARR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PARR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PARR historically offers an average upside of +1.57% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PARR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, PARR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PARR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.97%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.