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Latest signal:

PR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 25 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-23 → 2024-12-16

⚠️ Small sample size (25 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Permian Resources Corporation CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS (SIC 1311)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 15, 2016 🔗 www.permianres.com
💰 Market Cap: $11.01B 👥 Employees: 482
Permian Resources Corp is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on generating outsized returns to stakeholders through the responsible acquisition, optimization and development of oil and liquids-rich natural gas assets. The Company's assets and operations are concentrated in the core of the Permian Basin, and its properties consist of large, contiguous acreage blocks located in West Texas and New Mexico.
📊
25
Total Alerts
🎯
60.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.18%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.74%
Best: +2.17%
Worst: -2.25%
Trades: 11/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +1.22%
Avg Loser: -1.12%
Best: +5.27%
Worst: -2.85%
Trades: 11/13

30MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +4.55%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 15/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.96%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +6.03%
Worst: -3.56%
Trades: 11/13

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +6.03%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 10/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +7.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, PR alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -3.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 25 alerts, PR typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 25
Gap Up % 28.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap +0.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

How PR compares to 51 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PR: -0.09% Sector: -0.16% +0.07%
EOD Gain
PR: -0.06% Sector: +59.69% -59.75%
Avg MFE
PR: +1.82% Sector: +2.88% -1.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-16 09:27:59 $14.62 -1.13% -1.23% -0.79% -0.58% -3.21% - -0.34% -0.27% LOSS
2024-11-27 09:27:47 $15.72 +0.25% +1.08% +0.61% -0.38% -0.83% +1.21% -0.38% -0.25% WIN
2024-10-01 09:25:47 $13.51 -0.70% +0.48% +1.92% +2.70% +2.22% +3.33% -0.74% - LOSS
2024-07-29 09:27:57 $15.35 -0.23% -0.10% -0.36% -0.91% -0.13% +0.39% -0.65% - LOSS
2024-07-09 09:26:07 $16.11 -0.19% -0.09% +0.22% -0.06% -0.62% +1.12% -0.62% +0.25% LOSS
2024-07-01 09:27:15 $16.0 +0.22% +0.47% +0.31% -0.62% +0.62% +1.29% -1.25% - WIN
2024-05-31 09:29:08 $16.33 -0.31% +0.34% +0.31% - +0.37% +0.80% -1.10% -0.67% LOSS
2024-04-10 09:25:48 $18.04 -0.83% -0.75% +0.19% +0.89% - +1.30% -0.89% -0.33% LOSS
2024-04-01 09:25:58 $17.79 -0.96% -1.01% -1.18% -1.35% -0.39% +0.20% -1.74% -0.22% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:25:05 $17.13 -0.58% -0.85% -0.44% +0.44% +0.12% +0.99% -0.88% -0.18% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:26:40 $17.18 -0.47% +0.06% +0.36% +0.55% +0.64% +0.87% -1.16% -0.70% LOSS
2024-03-04 09:28:26 $15.7 +0.32% - +0.41% -0.67% -0.83% +0.96% -1.34% -0.41% WIN
2023-12-19 09:28:00 $13.0 +0.69% +0.85% +0.65% +0.65% +2.69% +2.85% -0.77% -0.15% WIN
2023-11-15 09:28:00 $13.41 +0.75% +1.34% +1.12% +2.24% -0.37% +2.95% +0.60% +0.60% WIN
2023-10-06 09:25:00 $12.71 +1.18% +1.22% +1.34% +2.95% +4.01% +5.27% +0.55% +0.71% WIN
2023-09-27 09:25:00 $13.71 +0.22% -0.07% +1.42% +1.28% +2.19% +3.06% -0.40% +0.15% WIN
2023-09-20 09:26:00 $13.27 +1.02% +0.79% +1.70% +1.51% -0.68% +2.26% -0.45% +0.30% WIN
2023-09-13 09:29:00 $14.26 +0.25% -0.39% -1.09% -1.72% -1.61% +0.91% +0.56% +0.56% WIN
2023-09-05 09:27:00 $15.14 -0.07% -1.22% -0.89% -2.00% -3.43% +1.32% +0.40% - LOSS
2023-08-21 09:26:00 $12.43 +2.17% +5.27% +4.55% +6.03% +6.03% +7.32% -0.24% +0.97% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 60.0% Baseline on PR

The 60.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PR Strategy →

Why Analyze PR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PR historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, PR shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.