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Ticker Report — Historical Last signal ·

$TM

Trade-Ideas alerts 83.3% at 5-min n=12 2023-01-04 → 2026-06-30

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 12 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Toyota Motor Corporation American Depositary Shares (Each representing ten Ordinary Shares) Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies (SIC 3711)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 18, 1976 🔗 www.global.toyota
💰 Market Cap: $214.92B 👥 Employees: 367,990
Founded in 1937, Toyota is one of the world's largest automakers, with 11.3 million units sold at retail in fiscal 2026, including 10.5 million across the Toyota and Lexus brands. Brands include Toyota, Lexus, Daihatsu, and truck maker Hino; market share in Japan is about 50% excluding mini-vehicles, while US share is around 14%. The firm also owns stakes in Denso, a parts supplier, about 20% of Subaru, and holds investments in many other firms, including shares of Uber Technologies, Joby Aviation, Aurora Innovation, Isuzu Motors, and about 5% in each of Mazda and Suzuki. Fiscal 2026 sales excluding financial services were JPY 46.1 trillion. Toyota also has a financing arm and manufactures homes and boats.
Total alerts
12
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 5MIN
83.3%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 5MIN
+0.18%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+0.54%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading TM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.49%
Best: +0.71%
Worst: -0.80%
Trades: 10/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.39%
Best: +0.79%
Worst: -0.72%
Trades: 9/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +0.89%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 8/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.35%
Best: +0.85%
Worst: -0.56%
Trades: 9/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.39%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +1.27%
Worst: -0.81%
Trades: 6/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.54%
Best MFE: +1.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 58 min

On average, TM alerts reach +0.54% profit potential within 58 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.05%
Worst MAE: -0.33%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

9.89:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 9.89x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 12 alerts, TM typically reaches +0.54% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 12
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.22%
Best Gap +0.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

How TM compares to 18 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TM: +0.18% Sector: -0.18% +0.37%
EOD Gain
TM: +0.03% Sector: +888.19% -888.16%
Avg MFE
TM: +0.54% Sector: +2.89% -2.35%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-06-30 09:25:00 $169.0 -0.80% -0.72% -0.66% -0.56% -0.34% +0.06% +0.05% -0.20% LOSS
2026-06-16 09:25:00 $178.07 +0.12% +0.41% +0.65% +0.49% +0.07% +0.82% -0.04% -0.04% WIN
2026-05-29 09:25:00 $191.5 +0.14% +0.08% -0.29% -0.16% -0.81% +0.15% -0.30% -0.06% WIN
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $187.69 +0.22% -0.28% -0.44% +0.08% -0.08% +0.43% -0.33% +0.17% WIN
2026-04-20 09:25:00 $214.17 +0.45% +0.26% +0.65% +0.39% +0.50% +0.67% +0.15% +0.58% WIN
2026-01-27 09:25:00 $223.74 +0.57% +0.62% +0.41% +0.37% +0.17% +0.79% +0.39% +0.57% WIN
2024-06-07 09:28:20 $206.43 +0.10% +0.23% +0.25% +0.42% -0.03% +0.62% -0.11% +0.03% WIN
2023-08-31 09:29:00 $171.6 +0.23% +0.35% +0.36% +0.31% +0.31% +0.52% +0.20% +0.20% WIN
2023-07-14 09:28:00 $160.15 -0.19% -0.18% -0.27% -0.33% -0.62% -0.09% -0.26% -0.11% LOSS
2023-07-13 09:26:00 $160.3 +0.17% +0.37% +0.32% +0.07% +0.03% +0.37% +0.14% +0.24% WIN
2023-04-17 09:25:00 $136.02 +0.49% +0.69% +0.89% +0.85% +1.27% +1.30% +0.47% +0.51% WIN
2023-01-04 09:29:00 $137.26 +0.71% +0.79% +0.74% +0.08% -0.05% +0.83% +0.29% +0.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 83.3% Baseline on TM

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push TM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TM Strategy →

Why Analyze TM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TM historically offers an average upside of +0.54% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, TM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.18%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.