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LCID Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 750 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

Lucid Group, Inc. Common Stock MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES (SIC 3711)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 26, 2021 🔗 www.lucidmotors.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.59B 👥 Employees: 6,800
Lucid Group Inc is a technology and automotive company. It develops the next generation of electric vehicle (EV) technologies. It offers its own geographically distributed retail and service locations and through direct-to-consumer online and retail sales. It also boasts a product roadmap of future vehicle programs and technologies. It focuses on in-house hardware and software innovation, vertical integration, and a clean-sheet approach to engineering and design led to the development of the Lucid Air. The Lucid Air is a luxury sedan that redefines both the luxury car segment and the EV space. Its geographic segments include North America, the Middle East, and Other International.
📊
750
Total Alerts
🎯
43.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.30%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+3.26%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -1.04%
Best: +5.04%
Worst: -6.22%
Trades: 307/421

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.65%
Best: +12.07%
Worst: -8.57%
Trades: 313/425

30MIN

Win Rate: 42.8%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +2.05%
Avg Loser: -2.00%
Best: +13.80%
Worst: -7.70%
Trades: 320/421

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.0%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +18.82%
Worst: -11.51%
Trades: 314/423

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.7%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +3.48%
Avg Loser: -3.42%
Best: +43.80%
Worst: -15.04%
Trades: 328/400

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.26%
Best MFE: +98.88%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, LCID alerts reach +3.26% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.35%
Worst MAE: -8.39%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.35%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 750 alerts, LCID typically reaches +3.26% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 750
Gap Up % 27.7%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +1.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

How LCID compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LCID: -0.23% Sector: -0.18% -0.05%
EOD Gain
LCID: -0.30% Sector: +1047.62% -1047.92%
Avg MFE
LCID: +3.25% Sector: +2.85% +0.41%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LCID alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:15 $3.28 +2.90% +2.29% +3.05% +1.68% +0.91% +4.27% -0.30% +0.46% WIN
2025-02-13 09:26:07 $2.92 +1.26% +2.57% +4.45% +8.05% +11.64% +13.36% -0.34% +0.17% WIN
2025-02-12 09:26:18 $2.68 +0.37% +2.24% +1.12% +2.30% +7.09% +7.28% -0.37% - WIN
2025-02-11 09:25:05 $2.74 -0.73% -0.36% +0.36% +0.18% -1.82% +1.09% -1.82% +0.18% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:25:58 $2.87 -0.53% -1.92% -1.39% -0.17% -3.48% +0.70% -2.09% -0.35% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:00 $2.88 +0.17% -0.52% -0.17% -0.17% -1.74% +0.69% -1.39% - WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:53 $2.93 -0.68% -0.64% -0.42% +0.08% -1.37% +3.75% -1.71% +0.34% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:25 $2.94 +0.34% -0.34% -0.17% +0.68% -1.02% +3.40% -1.36% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:42 $2.82 +1.77% +1.41% +1.77% +1.81% +3.90% +4.96% -0.67% -0.35% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:21 $2.68 -1.06% -0.37% +0.37% +1.31% +4.48% +5.97% -1.49% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:34 $2.73 +0.73% +1.50% +1.45% +3.66% +1.10% +4.03% -0.73% - WIN
2025-01-30 09:28:27 $2.71 +1.66% +1.29% +0.18% +0.23% +0.37% +3.69% -0.37% - WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:29 $2.75 +0.91% -1.85% -2.36% -1.45% -2.91% +1.09% - +0.36% WIN
2025-01-28 09:27:49 $2.75 -1.82% -3.45% -2.18% -1.82% +0.73% +1.09% -4.00% -0.36% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:28:27 $2.74 +2.19% +5.84% +4.93% +6.02% +0.36% +8.39% - +0.36% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:03 $2.76 +1.99% +1.63% -0.36% +0.36% +1.09% +4.71% -1.09% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-23 09:26:50 $2.66 +2.64% +0.19% -0.08% -0.19% +2.26% +3.01% -0.38% - WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:41 $2.81 - -0.53% -3.56% -2.14% -4.98% +1.07% -0.71% +0.36% -
2025-01-21 09:26:49 $3.05 -1.18% -4.43% -5.74% -4.10% -6.23% +0.33% -1.31% +0.33% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:28:55 $3.12 +1.79% +1.45% +0.64% - -1.60% +3.53% - +0.32% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LCID Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.7% win rate and -0.30% average gain, LCID alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider LCID for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze LCID with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LCID. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LCID historically offers an average upside of +3.26% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LCID Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.7%, LCID shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests LCID may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LCID shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.30%). This suggests LCID is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.