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F Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 758 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.ford.com
💰 Market Cap: $54.03B 👥 Employees: 171,000
Ford Motor Co. manufactures automobiles under its Ford and Lincoln brands. In March 2022, the company announced that it will run its combustion engine business, Ford Blue, and its BEV business, Ford Model e, as separate businesses but still all under Ford Motor. The company has nearly 13% market share in the United States, about 10% share in the UK, and under 2% share in China including unconsolidated affiliates. Sales in the US made up about 68% of 2024 total company revenue. Ford has about 171,000 employees, including about 56,500 UAW employees, and is based in Dearborn, Michigan.
📊
758
Total Alerts
🎯
49.5%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.02%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.46%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 49.5%
Avg Gain: -0.02%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: -0.50%
Best: +3.65%
Worst: -3.74%
Trades: 375/369

15MIN

Win Rate: 48.0%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.74%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.70%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 363/388

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.89%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +3.62%
Worst: -4.95%
Trades: 360/388

60MIN

Win Rate: 48.2%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.05%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +5.01%
Worst: -6.41%
Trades: 365/386

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.54%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +7.42%
Worst: -9.21%
Trades: 363/376

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.46%
Best MFE: +8.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, F alerts reach +1.46% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.58%
Worst MAE: -5.05%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 758 alerts, F typically reaches +1.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 758
Gap Up % 38.0%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +1.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES

How F compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
F: -0.02% Sector: -0.18% +0.16%
EOD Gain
F: -0.03% Sector: +1047.62% -1047.65%
Avg MFE
F: +1.46% Sector: +2.85% -1.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical F alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:00 $9.4 +1.13% +0.69% +0.53% +0.05% +0.85% +1.17% -0.11% +0.32% WIN
2025-02-13 09:27:54 $9.29 -0.32% -0.27% +0.16% +1.29% +0.65% +1.29% -0.54% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:35 $9.18 -0.33% -0.54% -0.27% -0.22% +0.54% +1.20% -0.87% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:51 $9.21 -0.38% +0.10% +0.05% +0.05% - +0.54% -0.43% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:45 $9.26 -0.92% -0.59% -0.59% -0.43% -0.22% +0.43% -1.51% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:27:48 $9.34 -0.44% -0.80% -0.91% -0.86% -1.07% +0.11% -0.11% -0.11% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:04 $9.48 +1.05% -1.32% -1.21% -1.64% -2.32% +1.69% -1.16% +0.11% WIN
2025-02-05 09:26:37 $10.16 +1.38% +0.64% -0.34% +0.74% -1.48% +1.53% -0.10% - WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:23 $9.95 +0.30% +0.85% +0.30% +1.36% +2.11% +2.11% -0.45% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:06 $9.69 +0.52% +0.10% +0.26% +2.84% +2.06% +3.82% -0.21% +0.31% WIN
2025-01-31 09:27:58 $10.14 +0.74% +1.13% +1.48% +0.44% -0.59% +2.07% +0.20% +0.30% WIN
2025-01-30 09:29:42 $10.24 +0.63% +0.30% -0.20% +0.25% -0.78% +1.46% +0.20% +0.20% WIN
2025-01-29 09:28:42 $10.09 -0.30% -0.35% +0.40% +0.86% +1.19% +1.98% -0.59% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:37 $10.27 -1.20% -2.24% -2.78% -2.00% -1.85% - -0.19% -0.39% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:43 $10.08 +1.44% +1.88% +1.93% +2.33% +2.98% +3.37% +0.20% +0.30% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:33 $10.14 +1.07% +1.18% +0.35% +0.28% -0.20% +1.68% +0.20% +0.20% WIN
2025-01-23 09:25:53 $10.05 +0.10% -0.50% -0.45% -0.40% +1.09% +1.19% -0.80% - WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:38 $10.24 -1.37% -1.47% -1.71% -1.66% -2.05% +0.10% -0.20% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:44 $10.28 +0.10% - -0.01% +0.44% +1.46% +1.65% -0.39% +0.19% WIN
2025-01-17 09:26:45 $10.01 +0.95% +1.48% +1.25% +1.27% +1.70% +2.00% -0.10% +0.70% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ F Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.5% win rate and -0.02% average gain, F alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider F for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze F with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for F. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, F historically offers an average upside of +1.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 F Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.5%, F shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests F may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: F shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.02%). This suggests F is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.