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TTE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 105 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-14 → 2024-12-04

🏢 Company Profile

TotalEnergies SE
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 08, 2009 🔗 www.totalenergies.com
💰 Market Cap: $150.83B 👥 Employees: 100,000
TotalEnergies is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2024, it produced 1.5 million barrels of liquids and 5.2 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2024, reserves stood at 11.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 54% of which are liquids. During 2024, it had LNG sales of 39.8 million metric tons. The company owns interests in refineries with a capacity of nearly 1.8 million barrels a day, primarily in Europe, distributes refined products in 65 countries, and manufactures commodity and specialty chemicals. At year-end, its gross installed renewable power generation capacity was 26 gigawatts.
📊
105
Total Alerts
🎯
48.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.11%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+0.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.5%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.18%
Avg Loser: -0.18%
Best: +1.11%
Worst: -1.02%
Trades: 40/59

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: -1.68%
Trades: 47/56

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.3%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.44%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +1.81%
Worst: -1.80%
Trades: 45/57

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.3%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: +1.92%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 44/58

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +2.89%
Worst: -3.14%
Trades: 51/54

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.91%
Best MFE: +3.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 166 min

On average, TTE alerts reach +0.91% profit potential within 166 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.50%
Worst MAE: -2.12%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.50%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.84:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 105 alerts, TTE typically reaches +0.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 105
Gap Up % 43.8%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +1.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TTE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-04 09:25:29 $57.0 -0.02% - -0.25% -0.49% -0.53% +0.18% -0.22% +0.12% LOSS
2024-07-03 09:27:49 $69.86 +0.01% +0.13% +0.09% +0.17% +0.16% +0.40% -0.04% +0.11% WIN
2024-06-05 09:27:13 $71.08 -0.14% -0.10% -0.14% -0.47% -0.84% +0.05% -0.04% +0.04% LOSS
2024-04-03 09:25:18 $71.77 -0.04% -0.06% +0.03% +0.20% +0.60% +0.79% -0.32% +0.03% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:26:56 $70.74 +0.02% +0.13% +0.17% +0.38% +1.36% +1.36% -0.40% - WIN
2024-03-20 09:26:44 $68.45 +0.01% +0.13% +0.07% -0.06% +1.08% +1.26% -0.29% -0.15% WIN
2024-03-14 09:27:10 $68.01 -0.06% -0.41% -0.32% -0.44% +0.09% +0.43% -0.63% -0.22% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:26:53 $65.39 -0.07% +0.23% +0.28% +0.06% +0.40% +0.70% -0.09% -0.03% LOSS
2024-02-09 09:25:03 $64.42 - +0.14% -0.06% -0.47% -0.17% +0.17% -0.11% -0.02% -
2024-02-07 09:26:46 $63.19 -0.32% -0.44% -0.35% -0.46% -0.22% +0.11% -0.74% -0.46% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $65.41 - - - - +0.06% +1.24% -0.15% +0.09% -
2023-11-15 09:28:00 $67.76 +0.01% +0.06% -0.10% - -0.61% +0.46% -0.22% -0.04% WIN
2023-09-05 09:29:00 $64.35 +0.09% -0.16% -0.14% -0.75% -0.85% +0.19% -0.08% - WIN
2023-08-10 09:26:00 $63.77 -0.09% +0.05% +0.30% +0.23% -0.71% +0.56% -0.19% -0.11% LOSS
2023-08-08 09:27:00 $59.88 -0.08% -0.32% -0.12% +0.43% +1.62% +1.74% -0.62% +0.12% LOSS
2023-08-07 09:28:00 $60.93 +0.16% -0.20% -0.66% -0.16% +0.13% +0.38% -0.82% +0.03% WIN
2023-08-04 09:26:00 $60.53 +0.18% +0.18% +0.38% +0.81% +0.18% +1.59% -0.10% -0.03% WIN
2023-07-05 09:27:00 $57.93 -0.31% -0.66% -1.00% -0.81% -1.09% -0.02% -0.12% -0.14% LOSS
2023-06-28 09:27:00 $56.57 -0.30% -0.78% -0.60% -0.51% +0.09% +0.55% -0.94% -0.05% LOSS
2023-06-22 09:29:00 $57.89 - -0.12% -0.09% -0.19% -0.81% +0.09% -0.40% -0.05% -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TTE Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.6% win rate and -0.11% average gain, TTE alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider TTE for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze TTE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TTE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TTE historically offers an average upside of +0.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TTE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.6%, TTE shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests TTE may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TTE shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.11%). This suggests TTE is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.