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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$USAR

Trade-Ideas alerts 42.6% at 60-min n=141 2026-01-05 → 2026-10-02

🏢 Company Profile

USA Rare Earth, Inc. Class A Common Stock METAL MINING (SIC 1000)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 14, 2025 🔗 www.usare.com
💰 Market Cap: $5.10B 👥 Employees: 132
USA Rare Earth Inc is a vertically integrated, domestic rare earth magnet supply chain that supports the state of energy, mobility, and national security in the United States. USARE is developing an NdFeB magnet manufacturing plant in the United States, and establishing domestic rare earth and critical minerals supply, extraction, and processing capabilities to both supply its manufacturing plant and market surplus materials to third parties. The company operates in a single reportable operating segment; that segment being the vertically integrated, domestic rare earth element magnet production supply chain. Geographically, it operates in United States, and International. It derives maximum revenue from International.
Total alerts
141
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
42.6%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.72%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+3.98%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading USAR on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.7%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +4.14%
Worst: -4.28%
Trades: 56/84

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +2.59%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +9.40%
Worst: -8.42%
Trades: 57/83

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.1%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +2.79%
Avg Loser: -2.88%
Best: +11.21%
Worst: -9.91%
Trades: 58/83

60MIN

Win Rate: 42.6%
Avg Gain: -0.72%
Avg Winner: +3.03%
Avg Loser: -3.50%
Best: +14.11%
Worst: -12.27%
Trades: 60/81

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 41.8%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +4.52%
Avg Loser: -4.20%
Best: +14.56%
Worst: -15.14%
Trades: 59/82

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.98%
Best MFE: +19.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, USAR alerts reach +3.98% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.58%
Worst MAE: -9.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 141 alerts, USAR typically reaches +3.98% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 141
Gap Up % 30.5%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +2.27%

🏭 Sector Comparison: METAL MINING

How USAR compares to 21 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
USAR: -0.27% Sector: -0.17% -0.10%
EOD Gain
USAR: -0.55% Sector: +0.68% -1.23%
Avg MFE
USAR: +3.98% Sector: +3.11% +0.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical USAR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $14.06 -0.50% -3.02% -2.68% -2.14% -3.34% +0.36% -0.28% -0.11% LOSS
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $14.09 +0.01% -1.99% -2.59% -3.12% -2.06% +0.78% -0.18% -0.07% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $14.12 +1.20% +1.06% +2.12% +3.40% -0.28% +4.46% -0.50% -0.14% WIN
2026-09-29 09:25:00 $14.6 -0.62% -2.81% -2.67% -2.57% -3.60% -0.07% -1.10% -0.07% LOSS
2026-09-28 09:25:00 $14.98 -0.87% -0.90% -0.83% -0.63% -3.77% +0.20% -1.07% -0.23% LOSS
2026-09-25 09:25:00 $15.37 -0.20% -0.46% -1.26% -1.46% -1.24% +1.11% -2.24% +0.26% LOSS
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $15.52 -0.77% -1.25% -2.44% -1.06% -0.93% +0.23% -0.35% -0.28% LOSS
2026-09-23 09:25:00 $16.8 -1.88% -2.56% -3.12% -4.76% -5.77% +0.42% +0.00% -0.03% LOSS
2026-09-22 09:25:00 $16.86 -1.07% -1.72% -3.00% -3.02% +0.77% +1.42% -3.68% +0.21% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $16.59 -0.78% +0.63% -1.51% +0.33% +1.15% +2.71% -1.87% +0.66% LOSS
2026-09-18 09:25:00 $15.79 +0.80% -2.24% -2.46% -3.13% -2.68% +1.79% -0.59% +0.96% WIN
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $15.61 -0.64% +0.06% +1.06% -0.74% +0.13% +2.11% -1.38% -0.38% LOSS
2026-09-16 09:25:00 $15.67 -0.64% -2.36% -2.11% -2.97% -3.64% +0.13% -1.08% +0.06% LOSS
2026-09-15 09:25:00 $15.54 +1.61% +0.48% +0.35% -0.93% -0.90% +1.93% -0.58% -0.06% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $15.34 +1.39% +1.24% +1.43% +1.86% +2.41% +4.76% -0.91% -0.59% WIN
2026-09-11 09:25:00 $16.02 -0.25% -1.37% -1.12% -0.81% -2.87% +2.06% -0.19% +0.12% LOSS
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $16.94 -1.42% -0.59% -2.21% -1.92% -5.31% +0.71% -0.18% +0.03% LOSS
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $17.57 -1.08% -1.28% -1.82% -2.22% -2.90% +0.34% -1.44% -0.63% LOSS
2026-09-08 09:25:00 $17.66 -0.43% -0.88% +0.48% +2.90% +0.02% +3.77% -1.39% -0.94% LOSS
2026-09-04 09:25:00 $18.76 -1.23% -1.92% -1.76% -5.12% -6.13% +2.88% -1.92% -0.59% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ USAR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.6% win rate and -0.72% average gain, USAR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider USAR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze USAR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for USAR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, USAR historically offers an average upside of +3.98% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 USAR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.6%, USAR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests USAR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: USAR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.72%). This suggests USAR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.