Sunday afternoon is when retail traders build their Monday watchlists using Twitter hype and weekend green spikes. They see $UMAC floating up +25.04% on absolute zero catalyst and construct a bull thesis around thin air. The historical database from 4,898 no-news gap setups shows these names close red 62% of the time. Flip side: fundamental gravity exists. $BRFH dropped -20.65% after printing Q2 earnings, while $NRDY announced a 1-for-15 reverse stock split to keep its listing alive. Amateurs look for volatility to chase; professionals look for statistical base rates to fade. What filter eliminates 90% of the junk on your Sunday watchlist?
$UMAC +25.04% — what the base rate says
What the data showed
- $UMAC +25.04% mcap $1.4B · float 45M shares · sector: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
- $AAOI +16.37% mcap $11.7B · float 77M shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $DSX +10.53% mcap $334M · float 115M shares
- $SNDK +8.43% mcap $196.3B · float 146M shares · sector: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
- $OPTU +7.85% mcap $227M · float 255M shares · sector: CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
- $AMD +6.79% mcap $788.4B · float 1.6B shares · sector: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
- $STX +5.71% mcap $199.0B · float 217M shares · sector: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
- $WDC +4.25% mcap $156.5B · float 336M shares · sector: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES
- $AEM +3.87% mcap $94.4B · float 500M shares · sector: Gold and Silver Ores
- $VIST +3.20% mcap $7.0B · float 75M shares
- $BRFH -20.65% mcap $29M · float 5M shares · sector: CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
- $MSGM -10.49% mcap $18M · float 2M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
- $SIDU -6.69% mcap $253M · float 101M shares · sector: RADIOTELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS
- $TOMZ -6.42% mcap $13M · float 15M shares · sector: INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS
- $STNE -6.16% mcap $2.5B · float 238M shares
- $HSDT -5.32% mcap $102M · float 80M shares · sector: FINANCE SERVICES
- $LFT -5.11%
- $TWLO -4.90% mcap $37.9B · float 151M shares · sector: SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
- $NRDY -4.76% mcap $94M · float 44M shares · sector: SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
- $WDAY -3.89% mcap $43.3B · float 206M shares · sector: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION
Run the historical numbers on FILTRIX.net before you add unbacked momentum gaps to your Monday watchlist. Check the base rates across thousands of past catalysts before risking capital on the open. Discipline > FOMO
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