Latest signal:
UMAC Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 34 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-11 → 2025-02-03
⚠️ Small sample size (34 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, UMAC alerts reach +10.46% profit potential within 103 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.07%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.57x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 34 alerts, UMAC typically reaches +10.46% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.4% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT
How UMAC compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical UMAC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | 09:25:44 | $11.09 | -1.04% | +0.23% | +1.26% | +1.26% | +8.21% | +11.18% | -3.48% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-27 | 09:28:13 | $12.69 | +0.91% | -0.47% | +2.05% | +0.55% | -4.89% | +2.21% | -1.18% | +1.18% | WIN |
| 2025-01-22 | 09:25:00 | $14.95 | +1.54% | -2.28% | -4.62% | -3.44% | -3.01% | +2.21% | -0.33% | +1.20% | WIN |
| 2025-01-21 | 09:25:08 | $13.5 | +0.40% | -1.30% | +2.96% | -2.96% | +9.33% | +10.56% | -3.63% | +0.74% | WIN |
| 2025-01-17 | 09:28:30 | $13.9 | -3.24% | -0.65% | +2.84% | +3.02% | -6.83% | +5.76% | -5.10% | +0.07% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-15 | 09:28:18 | $12.8 | -2.72% | +0.86% | +1.48% | +3.91% | +1.48% | +5.86% | -3.91% | -3.12% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-14 | 09:27:33 | $11.77 | -2.21% | +1.28% | +3.98% | +6.20% | +1.87% | +7.81% | -2.29% | -0.42% | LOSS |
| 2025-01-10 | 09:29:28 | $12.71 | +3.46% | +3.62% | +5.23% | +7.41% | +2.28% | +9.94% | - | +1.02% | WIN |
| 2025-01-08 | 09:27:10 | $13.95 | -3.01% | -8.24% | -10.75% | -9.03% | -11.25% | - | -1.79% | - | LOSS |
| 2025-01-06 | 09:28:18 | $16.66 | +0.06% | +3.75% | +0.54% | +2.04% | -1.20% | +4.56% | -1.74% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-01-03 | 09:27:32 | $16.44 | +1.03% | +4.32% | +3.98% | -0.62% | +1.46% | +6.45% | -2.68% | -0.24% | WIN |
| 2025-01-02 | 09:25:40 | $16.73 | -3.38% | -6.01% | -1.49% | -4.21% | -4.78% | +1.61% | +0.42% | +0.48% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-31 | 09:27:29 | $19.4 | -2.99% | -8.20% | -5.15% | -6.84% | -13.30% | - | -0.46% | -2.22% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-30 | 09:29:54 | $16.55 | -1.40% | -5.29% | -4.77% | -1.81% | +16.68% | +30.82% | -8.16% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-27 | 09:29:11 | $18.31 | +0.02% | +4.00% | +1.32% | -7.45% | -7.32% | +5.95% | -2.84% | -0.71% | WIN |
| 2024-12-26 | 09:25:08 | $15.16 | +2.74% | +12.56% | +10.82% | +12.80% | +15.70% | +18.47% | -0.13% | +2.11% | WIN |
| 2024-12-24 | 09:27:15 | $14.94 | -2.75% | +1.61% | +5.89% | +6.43% | -2.34% | +9.04% | -4.28% | -1.94% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-23 | 09:27:43 | $12.98 | -5.50% | -4.16% | +6.42% | +0.62% | +20.03% | +22.80% | -10.40% | -2.85% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-20 | 09:26:27 | $10.62 | -0.80% | -0.61% | +2.54% | +7.63% | +18.74% | +21.85% | -3.95% | -2.35% | LOSS |
| 2024-12-19 | 09:27:16 | $12.29 | -1.55% | -3.51% | -7.28% | -12.89% | -14.16% | +1.71% | -3.17% | -0.65% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ UMAC Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 52.9% win rate, UMAC has -0.10% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making UMAC profitable.
🔧 Fix UMAC Risk/Reward →Why Analyze UMAC with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for UMAC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, UMAC historically offers an average upside of +10.46% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 UMAC Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 52.9%, UMAC shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.02%) outweigh average wins (+4.28%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: UMAC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.10%). This suggests UMAC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.