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AMD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 758 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 02, 1973 🔗 www.amd.com
💰 Market Cap: $422.77B 👥 Employees: 28,000
Advanced Micro Devices designs a variety of digital semiconductors for markets such as PCs, gaming consoles, data centers (including artificial intelligence), industrial, and automotive applications. AMD's traditional strength was in central processing units and graphics processing units used in PCs and data centers. However, AMD is emerging as a prominent player in AI GPUs and related hardware. Additionally, the firm supplies the chips found in prominent game consoles such as the Sony PlayStation and Microsoft Xbox.
📊
758
Total Alerts
🎯
48.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.02%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 48.7%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.54%
Best: +4.67%
Worst: -2.58%
Trades: 369/385

15MIN

Win Rate: 46.5%
Avg Gain: -0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -0.94%
Best: +5.32%
Worst: -4.12%
Trades: 352/403

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +1.19%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: +5.66%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 360/395

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.52%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +6.64%
Worst: -6.64%
Trades: 357/400

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.9%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -2.12%
Best: +12.61%
Worst: -10.26%
Trades: 371/385

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.02%
Best MFE: +12.95%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, AMD alerts reach +2.02% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -6.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.54:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.54x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 758 alerts, AMD typically reaches +2.02% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 758
Gap Up % 47.6%
Avg Gap -0.01%
Best Gap +5.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How AMD compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AMD: +0.00% Sector: -0.04% +0.04%
EOD Gain
AMD: -0.06% Sector: +13404.08% -13404.14%
Avg MFE
AMD: +2.02% Sector: +2.71% -0.69%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AMD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:29 $112.2 +0.74% +0.95% +1.74% +1.29% +0.80% +2.17% +0.05% +0.40% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:06 $112.44 -0.74% +0.31% +0.85% +1.13% -0.56% +1.92% -1.13% -0.39% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:03 $109.9 -0.47% +0.24% +0.04% +0.99% +1.66% +1.76% -0.76% -0.35% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:19 $109.2 +0.50% +1.16% +1.77% +1.72% +1.74% +3.54% -0.30% -0.20% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:49 $108.15 +0.45% +1.31% +0.98% +2.08% +2.15% +3.01% -0.12% +0.27% WIN
2025-02-07 09:26:18 $109.41 -0.19% -0.27% -0.12% -1.67% -1.69% +0.47% -0.67% -0.26% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:25:57 $111.06 -0.44% -0.42% -0.70% -0.89% -0.81% +1.35% -0.66% -0.12% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:28:08 $107.5 +0.55% +0.68% +0.39% -0.39% +4.20% +4.27% -0.93% +0.10% WIN
2025-02-04 09:26:04 $115.59 +0.79% -0.01% +0.48% +1.34% +3.38% +3.69% -0.69% -0.12% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:12 $113.27 +0.10% +0.60% +0.53% +1.08% +0.88% +1.67% -0.26% +0.53% WIN
2025-01-31 09:26:41 $119.87 -0.74% -1.28% -1.45% -0.86% -3.27% -0.10% -0.83% -0.61% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:44 $118.51 +1.13% +0.75% +0.51% -0.48% +0.30% +1.63% -0.17% +0.02% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:19 $115.5 +0.14% +0.31% +0.39% +1.16% +1.60% +2.61% -0.47% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:21 $114.94 -0.04% -1.42% -1.41% -0.07% -0.67% +1.05% +0.01% +0.20% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:34 $117.93 -0.77% -0.90% -0.43% -0.56% -2.48% +0.13% -2.02% -0.11% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:36 $124.55 -0.69% -0.89% -0.88% -1.05% -1.37% +0.56% -0.45% - LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:47 $121.51 +0.07% +0.28% +0.84% +0.96% +1.26% +1.81% -0.72% -0.07% WIN
2025-01-22 09:25:26 $123.66 -0.95% -0.35% -0.02% +0.23% +0.07% +1.61% -1.41% -0.47% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:48 $122.57 -0.35% -0.59% -0.08% -0.55% -0.24% +0.96% -1.18% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:49 $120.92 +0.65% +0.99% +0.50% -0.02% +0.45% +1.51% -0.31% -0.12% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AMD Shows Negative Expectancy

With 48.9% win rate and -0.06% average gain, AMD alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AMD for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AMD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AMD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AMD historically offers an average upside of +2.02% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AMD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 48.9%, AMD shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AMD may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AMD shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.06%). This suggests AMD is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.