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Latest signal:

STX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 30 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-27 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (30 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Seagate Technology Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares (Ireland) COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES (SIC 3572)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 11, 2002 🔗 www.seagate.com
💰 Market Cap: $75.41B 👥 Employees: 30,000
Seagate Technology is a leading supplier of hard disk drives for data storage to the enterprise and consumer markets. It forms a practical duopoly in the market with its chief rival, Western Digital; they are both vertically integrated.
📊
30
Total Alerts
🎯
76.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.84%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+2.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.7%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +2.44%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 17/13

15MIN

Win Rate: 63.3%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.11%
Best: +7.95%
Worst: -3.72%
Trades: 19/11

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.63%
Avg Loser: -1.49%
Best: +7.18%
Worst: -3.63%
Trades: 20/10

60MIN

Win Rate: 76.7%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +1.48%
Avg Loser: -1.24%
Best: +4.76%
Worst: -2.52%
Trades: 23/7

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.26%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +4.32%
Worst: -5.33%
Trades: 15/15

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.75%
Best MFE: +10.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, STX alerts reach +2.75% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.80%
Worst MAE: -4.76%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.80%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 30 alerts, STX typically reaches +2.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 30
Gap Up % 53.3%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +1.26%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES

How STX compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
STX: +0.28% Sector: -0.15% +0.43%
EOD Gain
STX: +0.26% Sector: +43.34% -43.09%
Avg MFE
STX: +2.75% Sector: +5.36% -2.61%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:27:21 $96.51 +0.95% +1.66% +0.93% +1.33% -0.37% +1.80% +0.40% +0.57% WIN
2025-02-06 09:29:39 $96.19 -0.25% -0.43% -0.04% +0.29% +0.36% +0.61% -0.58% -0.09% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:25:34 $98.4 -0.49% -0.22% -0.19% +0.58% -2.07% +1.62% -0.91% -0.31% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:26:06 $103.25 +0.19% -1.59% -2.23% -1.75% -2.89% +0.91% +0.91% +0.75% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:57 $103.9 +1.64% +1.25% +1.84% +0.69% -0.40% +2.98% - +1.16% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:10 $108.6 -0.13% +0.02% +0.02% +0.67% -0.38% +1.51% -0.92% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:35 $108.01 -0.34% +1.26% +1.85% +1.51% +0.16% +3.61% -1.99% +0.57% LOSS
2024-09-04 09:27:53 $96.56 -0.27% -0.23% +0.48% +0.23% +4.32% +4.64% -1.93% -0.48% LOSS
2024-07-24 09:26:08 $108.51 +0.53% -0.54% +1.04% +3.52% +0.94% +4.66% -1.24% +0.45% WIN
2024-06-12 09:28:38 $102.87 -0.45% +0.03% -0.05% +1.13% -0.02% +2.34% -0.78% +0.22% LOSS
2024-06-10 09:25:52 $96.0 +0.33% +1.02% +1.74% +1.74% +3.67% +3.70% -1.03% -0.56% WIN
2024-03-27 09:25:47 $94.72 +1.67% +0.66% +0.89% -1.06% -0.15% +1.70% +0.99% +0.99% WIN
2023-12-26 09:28:00 $85.2 -0.05% +0.31% +0.02% +0.29% +0.79% +0.96% -0.19% -0.05% LOSS
2023-12-06 09:29:00 $78.18 +1.34% +0.47% +0.54% +1.02% -0.47% +1.51% -0.17% -0.05% WIN
2023-10-11 09:28:00 $66.73 +1.05% +1.26% +1.23% +1.65% +4.24% +4.36% +0.04% +0.04% WIN
2023-09-08 09:26:00 $63.66 +0.22% -0.13% +0.79% +1.73% +2.69% +2.72% -0.39% -0.06% WIN
2023-09-07 09:28:00 $67.01 -1.90% -2.20% -3.39% -2.52% -5.33% +0.70% -0.07% +0.09% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:25:00 $70.66 -0.69% +0.28% +0.26% +0.57% +0.81% +1.55% -0.93% -0.35% LOSS
2023-04-20 09:28:00 $58.8 +1.14% +4.29% +3.38% +3.84% -2.93% +5.32% -0.73% -0.26% WIN
2023-01-26 09:29:00 $68.7 +1.22% -1.26% -3.63% -0.97% +0.45% +3.35% -1.67% +0.13% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 76.7% Baseline on STX

The 76.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize STX Strategy →

Why Analyze STX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STX historically offers an average upside of +2.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 76.7%, STX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STX performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.