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WDC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 72 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-28 → 2025-02-13

⚠️ Small sample size (72 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Western Digital Corp. COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES (SIC 3572)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 31, 1978 🔗 www.westerndigital.com
💰 Market Cap: $80.82B 👥 Employees: 40,000
Western Digital is a leading vertically integrated supplier of hard disk drives. The HDD market is a practical duopoly, with Western Digital and Seagate being the two largest players. Western Digital designs and manufactures its HDDs, with much of the manufacturing and workforce located in Asia. The primary consumers of HDDs are data centers.
📊
72
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.03%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.93%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -3.01%
Trades: 36/36

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +5.28%
Worst: -5.09%
Trades: 36/36

30MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +1.61%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +5.03%
Worst: -5.01%
Trades: 34/38

60MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.77%
Avg Loser: -1.85%
Best: +4.61%
Worst: -9.19%
Trades: 32/39

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 48.6%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +1.88%
Avg Loser: -2.65%
Best: +5.51%
Worst: -9.12%
Trades: 35/37

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.12%
Best MFE: +6.54%
Avg Time to MFE: 123 min

On average, WDC alerts reach +2.12% profit potential within 123 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.88%
Worst MAE: -5.85%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.41:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.41x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 72 alerts, WDC typically reaches +2.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 72
Gap Up % 44.4%
Avg Gap -0.14%
Best Gap +1.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES

How WDC compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
WDC: +0.03% Sector: -0.15% +0.18%
EOD Gain
WDC: -0.45% Sector: +43.34% -43.80%
Avg MFE
WDC: +2.12% Sector: +5.36% -3.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical WDC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-13 09:25:17 $67.46 -0.33% -0.40% -0.01% -0.45% +0.15% +1.22% -1.17% -0.15% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:28:58 $66.42 -0.21% -0.62% -1.51% -3.88% -0.96% +1.76% -0.03% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:55 $65.93 -1.55% -1.33% -1.23% -1.68% -2.32% +0.05% -0.41% -0.49% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:29:18 $72.53 +0.01% -0.69% -0.37% +0.55% -4.25% +1.34% -0.73% +0.08% WIN
2024-08-21 09:26:51 $64.55 -0.01% +0.05% -0.38% -0.09% +0.74% +0.85% -1.01% +0.53% LOSS
2024-08-14 09:28:24 $62.0 +0.15% -0.71% -0.77% -1.27% -0.79% +1.21% +0.13% +0.40% WIN
2024-08-07 09:25:09 $58.02 +0.77% +2.52% +0.65% +0.60% -3.05% +2.59% +0.07% +1.09% WIN
2024-08-01 09:29:07 $60.24 +4.27% +4.40% +4.17% +0.07% +0.48% +4.90% -0.22% +0.17% WIN
2024-07-25 09:29:23 $68.37 -1.37% +0.53% -1.30% -0.63% -2.75% +1.04% -2.43% +0.16% LOSS
2024-05-08 09:25:40 $71.49 -0.95% -1.08% +0.17% +0.46% +0.77% +1.03% -1.83% -1.37% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:27:54 $70.75 -1.00% +0.10% -0.18% -0.58% -0.34% +1.75% -2.66% -0.82% LOSS
2024-04-29 09:27:45 $70.41 +2.50% -0.36% -1.40% -0.44% -0.78% +2.88% +0.36% +0.97% WIN
2024-04-26 09:27:58 $71.15 -1.81% -3.92% -5.01% -2.50% +0.30% +0.89% -5.85% -0.21% LOSS
2024-04-25 09:27:48 $67.17 -1.04% +0.57% +0.71% +2.50% +3.38% +4.36% -2.89% -0.64% LOSS
2024-04-24 09:25:50 $71.15 +0.87% -0.56% -0.91% -2.15% -2.25% +1.38% -0.14% -0.14% WIN
2024-04-22 09:26:07 $66.12 +0.26% +0.68% +1.41% +0.80% +1.41% +3.15% -0.42% +0.35% WIN
2024-04-18 09:26:01 $70.12 +0.12% -1.45% -0.66% +0.01% -2.57% +0.86% -1.53% -0.23% WIN
2024-04-10 09:26:50 $71.44 +0.13% +1.15% +1.51% +0.14% +1.13% +2.31% -0.55% +0.17% WIN
2024-04-09 09:27:03 $75.33 -1.11% -2.08% -2.38% -3.50% -3.56% +0.57% +0.36% +0.46% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:27:22 $75.06 -0.59% -2.48% -2.50% -2.15% -2.81% +2.48% -0.45% -0.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on WDC

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push WDC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize WDC Strategy →

Why Analyze WDC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for WDC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, WDC historically offers an average upside of +2.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 WDC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, WDC shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show WDC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.