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ADGM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 7 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-08-02 → 2025-01-08

⚠️ Small sample size (7 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Adagio Medical Holdings, Inc Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 01, 2024 🔗 www.adagiomedical.com
💰 Market Cap: $22.9M 👥 Employees: 71
Adagio Medical Holdings Inc is an innovator in catheter ablation technologies for the treatment of cardiac arrhythmias. The company focuses on developing cryoablation technologies that create contiguous, transmural lesions to treat cardiac arrhythmias, including paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter, and ventricular tachycardia.
📊
7
Total Alerts
🎯
71.4%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 71.4%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -4.15%
Best: +8.35%
Worst: -7.41%
Trades: 5/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -3.75%
Avg Winner: +7.77%
Avg Loser: -6.06%
Best: +7.77%
Worst: -12.10%
Trades: 1/5

30MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -8.53%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -10.40%
Best: +0.85%
Worst: -15.78%
Trades: 1/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -8.30%
Avg Winner: +5.83%
Avg Loser: -10.65%
Best: +5.83%
Worst: -20.53%
Trades: 1/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 14.3%
Avg Gain: -9.18%
Avg Winner: +8.74%
Avg Loser: -12.16%
Best: +8.74%
Worst: -35.12%
Trades: 1/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.82%
Best MFE: +13.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 54 min

On average, ADGM alerts reach +4.82% profit potential within 54 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.56%
Worst MAE: -14.52%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.56%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.88:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 7 alerts, ADGM typically reaches +4.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 7
Gap Up % 57.1%
Avg Gap -1.49%
Best Gap +0.97%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How ADGM compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ADGM: -0.93% Sector: -0.34% -0.59%
EOD Gain
ADGM: -13.55% Sector: +38960.46% -38974.01%
Avg MFE
ADGM: +2.36% Sector: +8.67% -6.31%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ADGM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-08 09:28:34 $1.11 +2.25% -5.23% -4.96% -5.41% -9.46% +2.25% +0.90% +0.90% WIN
2025-01-07 09:25:20 $1.17 -0.89% -0.85% +0.85% -1.71% -5.13% +1.71% -5.13% -5.13% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:26:40 $1.03 +3.88% +7.77% - +5.83% +8.74% +13.59% +0.97% +0.97% WIN
2025-01-02 09:25:25 $1.24 +0.80% -12.10% -9.67% -9.68% -5.65% +4.84% -14.52% -1.61% WIN
2024-12-26 09:27:52 $1.21 -7.41% -7.85% -12.39% -9.92% -12.40% - - -6.61% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:28:52 $1.68 +0.60% -4.26% -9.23% -16.66% -35.12% +2.98% -0.60% +0.60% WIN
2024-08-02 09:25:01 $8.62 +8.35% - -15.78% -20.53% -5.22% +8.35% +0.46% +0.46% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 71.4% Baseline on ADGM

The 71.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ADGM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ADGM Strategy →

Why Analyze ADGM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ADGM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ADGM historically offers an average upside of +4.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ADGM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 71.4%, ADGM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ADGM performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.