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ABEV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 240 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

AMBEV S.A.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 01, 1996 🔗 www.ambev.com.br
💰 Market Cap: $43.73B 👥 Employees: 42,167
Ambev is the largest brewer in Latin America and the Caribbean and is Anheuser-Busch InBev's subsidiary in the region. It produces, distributes, and sells beer and PepsiCo products in Brazil and other Latin American countries and owns Argentina's largest brewer, Quinsa. Ambev was formed in 1999 through the merger of Brazil's two largest beverage companies, Brahma and Antarctica. In 2004, Ambev combined with Canadian brewer Labatt, giving AB InBev a controlling interest of 62%.
📊
240
Total Alerts
🎯
45.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.42%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 38.3%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -0.46%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 92/98

15MIN

Win Rate: 39.2%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -3.52%
Trades: 94/129

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +0.75%
Avg Loser: -0.71%
Best: +2.37%
Worst: -4.02%
Trades: 96/123

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -0.91%
Best: +3.07%
Worst: -4.80%
Trades: 109/119

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.6%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +1.55%
Avg Loser: -1.39%
Best: +5.78%
Worst: -5.14%
Trades: 109/101

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.42%
Best MFE: +5.78%
Avg Time to MFE: 139 min

On average, ABEV alerts reach +1.42% profit potential within 139 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.59%
Worst MAE: -3.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.4:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.4x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 240 alerts, ABEV typically reaches +1.42% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 240
Gap Up % 27.9%
Avg Gap -0.03%
Best Gap +0.89%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ABEV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:09 $1.9 - - -0.26% -0.26% - +1.05% -1.05% - -
2025-02-13 09:25:29 $1.85 -0.27% +0.27% - - +1.08% +1.62% -0.54% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:31 $1.85 +0.54% +0.57% +0.81% +0.54% -0.54% +1.08% - +0.54% WIN
2025-02-11 09:29:50 $1.86 +0.27% -0.54% -0.54% -0.81% -0.54% +0.54% - +0.54% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:10 $1.88 -0.27% -0.27% -0.80% -0.27% -1.06% +1.06% -1.06% -0.53% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:45 $1.85 +0.14% -0.27% +0.27% -0.27% -0.54% +0.54% -0.54% -0.54% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:15 $1.84 -0.27% -0.54% -1.36% -0.82% - +1.63% -1.63% - LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:19 $1.83 +0.55% +0.27% +0.53% +0.27% +1.09% +2.19% - +0.55% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:52 $1.83 -0.27% -0.27% -0.55% -0.27% -2.19% - - - LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:33 $1.8 -0.56% +0.56% - +0.83% +1.11% +1.67% -0.83% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:39 $1.79 -0.56% -0.28% -0.28% +0.28% -0.56% +0.56% - -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:28:53 $1.8 - -0.28% -0.57% -0.28% -0.56% +1.11% -1.11% -0.56% -
2025-01-10 09:25:59 $1.83 - -1.09% -0.82% -1.37% -2.73% +0.55% -0.55% +0.55% -
2025-01-08 09:29:59 $1.84 -1.90% -2.17% -1.90% -2.02% - +0.54% -1.63% +0.54% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:30 $1.83 +0.51% -0.24% -0.27% -0.27% +1.09% +2.19% -1.09% - WIN
2025-01-06 09:27:42 $1.83 -1.37% -1.64% -1.37% -1.91% -2.19% -0.27% -1.64% -0.27% LOSS
2025-01-03 09:29:26 $1.82 -0.82% -0.82% -1.10% -1.10% -2.75% +1.10% - +0.55% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:29:30 $1.89 -1.06% -1.32% -1.32% -1.59% -2.12% - -0.79% -0.53% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:29:51 $1.91 -0.26% - - - -1.05% +0.01% -0.52% - LOSS
2024-12-24 09:27:38 $1.92 -1.04% -0.78% -0.52% -0.78% -1.04% - -0.52% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 45.6% Baseline on ABEV

The 45.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ABEV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ABEV Strategy →

Why Analyze ABEV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ABEV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ABEV historically offers an average upside of +1.42% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ABEV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 45.6%, ABEV shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ABEV performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.