FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

AAPL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 759 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 12, 1980 🔗 www.apple.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.42T 👥 Employees: 164,000
Apple is among the largest companies in the world, with a broad portfolio of hardware and software products targeted at consumers and businesses. Apple's iPhone makes up a majority of the firm sales, and Apple's other products like Mac, iPad, and Watch are designed around the iPhone as the focal point of an expansive software ecosystem. Apple has progressively worked to add new applications, like streaming video, subscription bundles, and augmented reality. The firm designs its own software and semiconductors while working with subcontractors like Foxconn and TSMC to build its products and chips. Slightly less than half of Apple's sales come directly through its flagship stores, with a majority of sales coming indirectly through partnerships and distribution.
📊
759
Total Alerts
🎯
61.6%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.15%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 61.6%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +3.47%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 466/288

15MIN

Win Rate: 55.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +4.53%
Worst: -2.37%
Trades: 416/338

30MIN

Win Rate: 56.0%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.52%
Best: +4.65%
Worst: -3.47%
Trades: 424/332

60MIN

Win Rate: 54.6%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +5.65%
Worst: -3.80%
Trades: 413/342

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 55.7%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.12%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +7.02%
Worst: -4.68%
Trades: 423/335

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +7.29%
Avg Time to MFE: 159 min

On average, AAPL alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 159 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.38%
Worst MAE: -3.25%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.38%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.02:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.02x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 759 alerts, AAPL typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 759
Gap Up % 59.8%
Avg Gap +0.03%
Best Gap +1.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: ELECTRONIC COMPUTERS

How AAPL compares to 4 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AAPL: +0.11% Sector: +0.02% +0.10%
EOD Gain
AAPL: +0.15% Sector: -6.34% +6.48%
Avg MFE
AAPL: +1.15% Sector: +1.88% -0.73%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AAPL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:28:11 $241.24 +0.48% +1.00% +1.23% +1.23% +1.39% +1.79% -0.10% +0.00% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:29 $237.4 +0.44% -0.48% -0.23% +0.16% +1.74% +2.08% -0.77% -0.21% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:27 $231.56 -0.13% -0.04% +0.53% +0.92% +2.29% +2.33% -0.38% -0.16% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:25:28 $229.0 +0.23% +0.79% +0.26% +1.58% +1.58% +2.72% -0.44% -0.35% WIN
2025-02-10 09:25:02 $229.04 +0.26% +0.20% +0.18% +0.48% -0.61% +0.67% -0.10% +0.23% WIN
2025-02-07 09:28:02 $232.44 +0.33% +0.36% +0.12% -0.78% -2.07% +0.67% -0.15% +0.07% WIN
2025-02-06 09:27:30 $231.3 -0.14% +0.88% +0.86% +0.17% +0.83% +1.08% -0.23% -0.01% LOSS
2025-02-05 09:29:30 $228.51 +0.32% +0.59% +0.72% +0.43% +1.73% +1.85% -0.10% +0.01% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:55 $227.78 -0.44% +0.07% +0.35% +1.14% +2.20% +2.35% -0.50% -0.23% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:28:39 $229.72 +0.15% +0.20% -0.38% -0.20% -0.74% +0.92% -0.12% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-31 09:25:06 $247.06 -0.20% -1.55% -1.97% -2.48% -4.48% +0.26% -0.05% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:27:46 $238.0 +0.71% +0.49% +0.63% +0.30% -0.17% +1.17% +0.13% +0.28% WIN
2025-01-29 09:25:44 $234.62 +0.23% +0.46% +0.49% +0.87% +2.02% +2.23% -0.30% -0.21% WIN
2025-01-28 09:28:46 $230.9 +1.42% +1.79% +1.64% +2.91% +3.19% +4.02% -0.05% -0.02% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:51 $223.75 +1.22% +1.33% +0.85% +1.58% +2.73% +3.75% -0.13% +0.12% WIN
2025-01-24 09:29:50 $224.84 -0.14% +0.21% -0.25% -0.90% -0.92% +0.35% -0.03% -0.03% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:17 $224.55 +0.45% +0.30% +0.23% +0.69% -0.40% +1.10% -0.13% +0.08% WIN
2025-01-22 09:29:10 $219.96 +1.20% +0.68% +1.36% +0.76% +1.76% +1.89% -0.08% -0.08% WIN
2025-01-21 09:27:40 $224.93 -0.86% -1.55% -1.42% -1.51% -1.02% -0.22% -0.69% -0.41% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:37 $231.45 +0.19% -0.54% -0.45% -0.51% -0.64% +0.37% -0.15% +0.29% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 61.6% Baseline on AAPL

The 61.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push AAPL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize AAPL Strategy →

Why Analyze AAPL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AAPL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AAPL historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AAPL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 61.6%, AAPL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show AAPL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.