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AGQ Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 471 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Dec 03, 2008
📊
471
Total Alerts
🎯
47.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.15%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+1.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: -0.38%
Best: +1.33%
Worst: -2.30%
Trades: 199/260

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +2.22%
Worst: -3.93%
Trades: 221/245

30MIN

Win Rate: 45.2%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +3.52%
Worst: -4.59%
Trades: 212/251

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.8%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.15%
Avg Loser: -1.36%
Best: +4.77%
Worst: -5.13%
Trades: 224/241

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.9%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.97%
Best: +8.10%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 225/243

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.72%
Best MFE: +8.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 124 min

On average, AGQ alerts reach +1.72% profit potential within 124 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.74%
Worst MAE: -4.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.74%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 471 alerts, AGQ typically reaches +1.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 471
Gap Up % 42.3%
Avg Gap -0.02%
Best Gap +1.01%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMODITY CONTRACTS BROKERS & DEALERS

How AGQ compares to 41 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
AGQ: -0.07% Sector: -0.01% -0.06%
EOD Gain
AGQ: -0.16% Sector: +257.70% -257.86%
Avg MFE
AGQ: +1.70% Sector: +1.89% -0.19%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AGQ alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:30 $45.03 -0.40% -1.13% -0.38% -3.21% -7.22% +0.11% -0.42% -0.27% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:34 $41.31 -0.29% +0.53% +0.19% +0.70% +2.83% +2.93% -0.39% +0.07% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:55 $41.35 +0.31% +0.15% - +0.30% +0.99% +2.03% -0.65% +0.07% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:55 $40.3 +0.16% +0.67% +0.37% +1.32% +0.87% +1.76% -0.20% +0.12% WIN
2025-02-10 09:28:03 $41.08 +0.50% +0.80% +1.39% +1.41% +0.44% +1.61% +0.10% +0.34% WIN
2025-02-07 09:27:30 $42.36 - +0.45% -0.09% +0.42% -4.20% +1.37% -0.56% +0.21% -
2025-02-04 09:29:29 $41.88 -0.04% +0.91% +1.19% +2.63% +0.91% +2.72% -0.35% +0.05% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:25:30 $41.1 +0.27% +0.83% +0.36% +0.92% +0.90% +2.12% -0.24% +0.32% WIN
2025-01-24 09:27:20 $38.31 -0.55% +0.03% -0.81% +0.18% -1.10% +0.50% -0.60% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:25:21 $36.77 -0.60% -0.41% -0.14% -0.73% +1.33% +1.47% -1.22% -0.33% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:51 $38.31 -0.38% -0.50% -0.16% -0.18% +0.73% +1.28% -1.10% -0.08% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:19 $37.48 +0.03% +1.15% +1.43% +1.68% +0.59% +2.24% -0.21% +0.16% WIN
2025-01-16 09:25:28 $39.62 -0.40% -0.30% -0.07% -0.18% -1.36% +0.53% -0.83% -0.23% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:26:40 $38.13 -0.47% -0.28% -0.47% -0.16% +2.54% +2.81% -1.46% +0.10% LOSS
2025-01-13 09:26:51 $35.94 +0.43% +0.11% +1.39% +0.43% -0.08% +1.75% +0.11% +0.22% WIN
2025-01-10 09:26:15 $39.4 +0.26% -0.69% -0.94% -1.02% -2.61% +0.84% +0.10% +0.28% WIN
2025-01-06 09:25:05 $35.92 +0.67% +0.52% +1.73% +2.51% +1.25% +3.12% -0.03% +0.45% WIN
2025-01-03 09:29:05 $36.0 +0.45% +0.44% +0.19% -0.97% -1.31% +0.53% +0.06% +0.22% WIN
2025-01-02 09:28:52 $34.83 +0.03% +0.66% +0.09% +0.43% +1.21% +1.61% -0.40% -0.23% WIN
2024-12-20 09:29:50 $34.48 +0.38% +0.51% +0.03% +1.65% +3.31% +4.06% -0.26% -0.09% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AGQ Shows Negative Expectancy

With 47.9% win rate and -0.15% average gain, AGQ alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AGQ for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AGQ with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AGQ. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AGQ historically offers an average upside of +1.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AGQ Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 47.9%, AGQ shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AGQ may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AGQ shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.15%). This suggests AGQ is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.