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AG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 396 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 06, 1994 🔗 www.firstmajestic.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.60B 👥 Employees: 5,175
First Majestic Silver Corp is engaged in the production, development, exploration, and acquisition of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America. It owns three producing mines in Mexico consisting of the San Dimas Silver/Gold Mine, the Santa Elena Silver/Gold Mine, and the La Encantada Silver Mine.
📊
396
Total Alerts
🎯
42.8%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.34%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 39.7%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +2.28%
Worst: -4.30%
Trades: 157/229

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.7%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -1.38%
Best: +4.06%
Worst: -6.53%
Trades: 149/240

30MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +5.73%
Worst: -8.64%
Trades: 158/234

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.3%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +2.10%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +6.87%
Worst: -12.57%
Trades: 159/231

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.8%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.72%
Avg Loser: -2.68%
Best: +14.48%
Worst: -14.59%
Trades: 169/222

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.37%
Best MFE: +14.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 110 min

On average, AG alerts reach +2.37% profit potential within 110 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.05%
Worst MAE: -5.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 396 alerts, AG typically reaches +2.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 396
Gap Up % 32.8%
Avg Gap -0.15%
Best Gap +1.34%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical AG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:50 $5.98 -1.09% -2.51% -2.01% -4.46% -9.03% - - -0.33% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:26:45 $5.81 -2.24% -2.93% -2.50% -1.89% -1.89% - -0.17% -0.34% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:25:05 $5.6 +0.89% +3.48% +2.95% +1.52% +3.39% +5.89% -0.36% -0.18% WIN
2025-02-11 09:28:58 $5.62 -1.60% -0.73% -0.72% -0.27% -0.18% +1.78% -1.78% -0.09% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:27:06 $5.87 -0.94% +0.50% -0.85% -0.85% -2.90% +1.02% -1.18% -0.85% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:30 $5.95 - -1.09% -1.45% -1.51% -5.38% +1.18% -0.17% - -
2025-02-06 09:28:27 $6.02 -0.50% -1.66% -2.91% -1.91% -3.32% +0.08% -1.50% - LOSS
2025-02-05 09:26:02 $6.12 +0.49% -0.34% -0.57% -0.90% -1.63% +1.80% -0.17% +0.49% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:53 $5.82 +1.98% +2.06% +1.80% +3.27% +5.84% +7.39% - +0.86% WIN
2025-02-03 09:28:47 $5.73 +0.35% +1.05% +1.57% +0.50% -0.35% +3.23% -2.44% -1.22% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:03 $6.01 -0.74% -1.58% -2.00% -3.24% -5.16% +0.08% -1.16% -0.67% LOSS
2025-01-30 09:26:27 $5.73 +0.96% +1.05% +1.31% +3.96% +4.54% +5.41% -0.17% +0.70% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:36 $5.3 +0.85% -0.38% -0.64% -1.21% +0.75% +1.98% -3.02% +0.38% WIN
2025-01-27 09:28:04 $5.51 -2.18% -2.18% -1.00% -2.18% -4.36% +0.18% -1.62% +0.18% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:29:42 $5.75 +0.87% +0.52% -0.61% +0.43% -2.26% +1.22% -0.35% +0.35% WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:46 $5.49 +1.38% +0.34% +0.19% +1.18% +2.19% +3.26% -0.36% -0.18% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:39 $5.75 -1.04% -1.83% -2.09% -1.91% -2.43% +0.87% -3.11% +0.35% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:28:46 $5.87 -0.81% +0.51% +0.17% +3.66% -2.38% +3.92% -1.53% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:42 $5.5 -0.55% +1.64% +2.09% +3.00% +6.18% +7.82% -1.82% -0.18% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:12 $5.68 +0.09% -0.89% -0.44% +0.26% -2.11% +1.76% - - WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ AG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 42.8% win rate and -0.34% average gain, AG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider AG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze AG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for AG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, AG historically offers an average upside of +2.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 AG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 42.8%, AG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests AG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: AG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.34%). This suggests AG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.