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ARAY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-21 → 2024-08-16

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 08, 2007 🔗 www.accuray.com
💰 Market Cap: $92.5M 👥 Employees: 990
Accuray Inc is a radiation oncology company that develops, manufactures, sells and supports precise, treatment solutions which set the standard of radiation therapy care with the objective of helping patients live lives. The company's technology, The CyberKnife, is used to treat multiple types of cancer and tumors throughout the body. The CyberKnife Systems automatically track, detect and correct for a tumor and patient movement in real-time during the procedure, enabling delivery of precise, high dose radiation with sub-millimetre accuracy while patients breathe normally, without manual user intervention.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+4.06%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+8.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4.06%
Avg Winner: +4.06%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +11.24%
Worst: +0.13%
Trades: 5/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +3.69%
Avg Winner: +6.55%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +12.92%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 3/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +3.40%
Avg Winner: +4.56%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +11.22%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 4/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +4.37%
Avg Winner: +5.77%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +10.11%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 4/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +5.71%
Avg Winner: +7.95%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +21.91%
Worst: -3.23%
Trades: 4/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.97%
Best MFE: +21.91%
Avg Time to MFE: 190 min

On average, ARAY alerts reach +8.97% profit potential within 190 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.24%
Worst MAE: -4.09%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.25:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.25x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, ARAY typically reaches +8.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.59%
Best Gap +2.23%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How ARAY compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ARAY: +4.06% Sector: -0.34% +4.41%
EOD Gain
ARAY: +5.71% Sector: +38960.46% -38954.75%
Avg MFE
ARAY: +8.97% Sector: +8.67% +0.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ARAY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-16 09:28:11 $2.2 +0.68% +4.10% +3.64% +6.59% +4.09% +8.41% -4.09% -0.91% WIN
2024-08-15 09:28:37 $1.78 +11.24% +12.92% +11.22% +10.11% +21.91% +21.91% -0.56% -0.56% WIN
2024-02-13 09:29:03 $2.67 +5.48% +2.63% +2.81% +5.24% +3.00% +7.87% -0.37% +1.12% WIN
2023-07-05 09:28:00 $3.71 +0.13% -1.21% -1.21% -1.21% -3.23% +1.08% +1.08% +1.08% WIN
2022-06-21 09:25:00 $1.79 +2.79% - +0.56% +1.12% +2.79% +5.59% -2.23% +2.23% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ARAY

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ARAY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ARAY Strategy →

Why Analyze ARAY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ARAY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ARAY historically offers an average upside of +8.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ARAY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ARAY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ARAY performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +4.06%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.