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ASX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 10 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-13 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (10 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2000 🔗 www.aseglobal.com
💰 Market Cap: $43.26B 👥 Employees: 103,844
ASE Technology Holding Co Ltd is a semiconductor assembly and testing firm. The company operates in segments: Packaging, Testing, and Electronic Manufacturing Services. Of these, Packaging segment contribute the maximum revenue. The packaging segment involves packaging bare semiconductors into completed semiconductors with improved electrical and thermal characteristics. The Testing Segment includes front-end engineering testing, wafer probing, and final testing services. In the EMS segment, the company designs manufactures, and sells electronic components and telecommunication equipment motherboards. The company is based in Taiwan but garners over half its sales from firms in the United States.
📊
10
Total Alerts
🎯
80.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.52%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.40%
Avg Winner: +0.82%
Avg Loser: -0.87%
Best: +1.61%
Worst: -1.33%
Trades: 7/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +0.64%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +1.41%
Worst: -2.18%
Trades: 7/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 80.0%
Avg Gain: +0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.60%
Best: +2.43%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 8/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 70.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +1.80%
Worst: -3.51%
Trades: 7/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +2.41%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: +4.28%
Worst: -7.77%
Trades: 4/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.00%
Best MFE: +4.97%
Avg Time to MFE: 126 min

On average, ASX alerts reach +2.00% profit potential within 126 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.40%
Worst MAE: -0.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.40%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 10 alerts, ASX typically reaches +2.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 10
Gap Up % 60.0%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +0.91%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ASX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:25:27 $10.55 -1.33% -2.18% -2.75% -3.51% -7.77% +0.47% +0.19% -0.57% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:26:29 $10.26 +1.61% +0.97% +1.41% +1.80% +0.58% +2.34% -0.49% +0.10% WIN
2024-10-04 09:26:39 $9.87 -0.41% -0.15% -0.46% -1.06% -0.30% +0.10% -0.71% -0.20% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:56 $11.48 +1.00% +0.27% +0.83% +1.35% -2.26% +1.66% -0.87% +0.35% WIN
2024-03-07 09:28:53 $11.26 +0.98% +0.84% +1.02% +1.60% +3.55% +3.73% -0.80% -0.62% WIN
2023-02-01 09:27:00 $7.24 +0.28% +0.62% +1.17% +1.17% +4.28% +4.97% -0.41% +0.28% WIN
2023-01-09 09:28:00 $6.88 +0.07% +0.14% +0.51% +0.44% - +1.16% - +0.58% WIN
2022-05-03 09:25:00 $6.54 - +0.23% +0.61% +0.92% +1.22% +1.68% -0.15% - -
2022-04-29 09:25:00 $6.59 +0.61% -0.30% +0.46% -0.08% -2.28% +1.06% -0.46% +0.91% WIN
2022-01-13 09:25:00 $7.82 +1.21% +1.41% +2.43% +0.85% - +2.81% -0.26% +0.13% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.0% Baseline on ASX

The 80.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ASX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ASX Strategy →

Why Analyze ASX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ASX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ASX historically offers an average upside of +2.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ASX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.0%, ASX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ASX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.52%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.