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BDX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 15 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-24 → 2025-01-27

⚠️ Small sample size (15 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 25, 1963 🔗 www.bd.com
💰 Market Cap: $57.49B 👥 Employees: 72,000
Becton Dickinson is the world's largest manufacturer and distributor of medical surgical products, such as needles, syringes, and sharps-disposal units. The company also manufactures prefilled devices, diagnostic instruments, and reagents, as well as flow cytometry and cell-imaging systems. BD Medical is nearly half of the total business, while BD Life Sciences (26% of 2024 revenue) and BD Interventional (25%) account for the remainder. International revenue accounts for 43% of the company's business.
📊
15
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.22%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+1.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -0.43%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -0.57%
Trades: 9/6

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.18%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +1.97%
Worst: -1.26%
Trades: 6/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.88%
Worst: -1.15%
Trades: 10/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.25%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -0.40%
Best: +2.81%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 7/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.38%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: -1.81%
Trades: 5/10

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.04%
Best MFE: +3.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 72 min

On average, BDX alerts reach +1.04% profit potential within 72 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.22%
Worst MAE: -1.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.22%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.78:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.78x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 15 alerts, BDX typically reaches +1.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 15
Gap Up % 46.7%
Avg Gap +0.10%
Best Gap +0.83%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How BDX compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BDX: +0.13% Sector: -0.34% +0.47%
EOD Gain
BDX: +0.02% Sector: +38960.46% -38960.44%
Avg MFE
BDX: +1.04% Sector: +8.67% -7.63%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BDX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-27 09:28:46 $243.52 +1.83% +1.73% +0.99% +1.13% +2.13% +2.45% +0.25% +0.61% WIN
2024-12-18 09:25:45 $226.76 +0.44% -0.10% +0.30% -0.07% -1.18% +0.96% -0.32% +0.25% WIN
2024-12-12 09:25:57 $221.0 +0.22% +1.97% +1.88% +2.81% +2.79% +3.47% -0.01% +0.17% WIN
2024-12-03 09:28:17 $222.82 -0.37% -0.55% -0.52% -0.59% -0.70% - -0.13% -0.03% LOSS
2024-09-24 09:26:35 $234.73 +0.48% -0.23% +0.27% +0.68% +0.95% +1.69% -0.64% +0.43% WIN
2024-09-23 09:28:10 $234.91 -0.57% -0.39% -1.15% -0.59% -0.08% +0.13% -1.15% -0.41% LOSS
2024-09-03 09:25:23 $242.08 +0.04% +0.65% +0.27% +0.32% +0.04% +1.20% -0.10% -0.03% WIN
2024-07-11 09:27:20 $222.74 +0.64% +1.40% +1.67% +1.54% +0.99% +2.12% +0.64% +0.83% WIN
2024-06-21 09:28:19 $238.4 -0.47% -0.10% +0.16% +0.16% -0.05% +0.62% +0.59% +0.49% LOSS
2024-06-04 09:26:51 $238.84 -0.43% -0.50% -0.35% -0.25% -0.14% +0.38% -0.18% +0.12% LOSS
2024-04-08 09:26:58 $246.17 -0.42% -1.26% -0.96% -0.88% -1.81% -0.14% -0.20% -0.23% LOSS
2023-11-30 09:29:00 $237.12 -0.32% -0.57% -0.60% -0.55% -0.40% -0.05% -0.97% -0.35% LOSS
2023-11-29 09:27:00 $237.37 +0.20% +0.29% +0.48% +0.28% -0.71% +0.62% -0.11% -0.11% WIN
2023-11-28 09:26:00 $238.86 +0.17% -0.01% +0.04% -0.08% -0.66% +0.46% -0.06% -0.06% WIN
2023-07-24 09:25:00 $282.51 +0.50% +0.39% +0.87% -0.20% -0.90% +1.70% -0.86% -0.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on BDX

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BDX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BDX Strategy →

Why Analyze BDX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BDX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BDX historically offers an average upside of +1.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BDX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, BDX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BDX performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.22%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.