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BMO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-13 → 2024-08-20

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 27, 1994 🔗 www.bmo.com
💰 Market Cap: $97.61B 👥 Employees: 53,000
Bank of Montreal is a diversified financial-services provider based in North America with over CAD 1.47 trillion in assets by the end of fiscal 2025. BMO operates four business segments: Canadian personal and commercial banking, US personal and commercial banking, wealth management, and capital markets. The bank's operations are primarily in Canada, with a material portion also in the US.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+2.03%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.21%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +2.20%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 1/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.61%
Avg Winner: +3.26%
Avg Loser: -0.03%
Best: +3.26%
Worst: -0.03%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.03%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.88%
Worst: +0.17%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.30%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.59%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +1.03%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.76%
Worst: +0.30%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.21%
Best MFE: +3.89%
Avg Time to MFE: 206 min

On average, BMO alerts reach +2.21% profit potential within 206 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -0.36%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

10.64:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 10.64x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, BMO typically reaches +2.21% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.47%
Best Gap +1.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC

How BMO compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BMO: +1.00% Sector: -0.04% +1.04%
EOD Gain
BMO: +1.03% Sector: +1152.05% -1151.02%
Avg MFE
BMO: +2.21% Sector: +3.85% -1.65%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BMO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-20 09:27:01 $86.4 -0.20% -0.03% +0.17% +0.00% +0.30% +0.52% -0.36% -0.17% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $89.09 +2.20% +3.26% +3.88% +2.59% +1.76% +3.89% -0.06% +1.11% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on BMO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BMO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BMO Strategy →

Why Analyze BMO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BMO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BMO historically offers an average upside of +2.21% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BMO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, BMO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BMO performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.