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BVS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-02-28 → 2024-05-07

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Bioventus Inc. Class A Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 11, 2021 🔗 www.bioventus.com
💰 Market Cap: $537.2M 👥 Employees: 950
Bioventus Inc is a medical technology company. The company is engaged in developing and commercializing clinically differentiated treatments that engage and enhance the body's natural healing process. It offers a diverse portfolio of products to serve physicians spanning the orthopedic continuum, including sports medicine, total joint reconstruction, hand and upper extremities, foot and ankle, podiatric surgery, trauma, spine and neurosurgery. Its portfolio of products is grouped into three verticals based on clinical use: Pain Treatments, Surgical Solutions, and Restorative Therapies. Geographical presence is in the United States which derives key revenue, and International markets.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+11.35%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+20.74%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +6.07%
Avg Loser: -1.40%
Best: +13.76%
Worst: -2.83%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +5.83%
Avg Winner: +9.98%
Avg Loser: -2.45%
Best: +30.90%
Worst: -2.84%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +11.35%
Avg Winner: +13.85%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +59.55%
Worst: -1.18%
Trades: 5/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +7.74%
Avg Winner: +10.52%
Avg Loser: -6.20%
Best: +36.96%
Worst: -6.20%
Trades: 5/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +10.80%
Avg Winner: +13.05%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +20.81%
Worst: -0.41%
Trades: 5/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +20.74%
Best MFE: +61.24%
Avg Time to MFE: 151 min

On average, BVS alerts reach +20.74% profit potential within 151 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.70%
Worst MAE: -4.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

7.68:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 7.68x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, BVS typically reaches +20.74% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 16.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 83.3%
Avg Gap +1.01%
Best Gap +4.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How BVS compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
BVS: +2.33% Sector: -0.34% +2.68%
EOD Gain
BVS: +10.80% Sector: +38960.46% -38949.66%
Avg MFE
BVS: +20.74% Sector: +8.67% +12.07%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical BVS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-05-07 09:27:05 $4.8 -0.21% +0.83% +1.04% +3.33% +6.67% +11.67% -3.12% +4.17% LOSS
2023-05-22 09:27:00 $1.73 -1.16% +5.21% +1.45% +4.65% +20.81% +23.67% -1.73% +0.58% LOSS
2023-05-10 09:27:00 $1.01 +3.96% +2.97% +3.96% +1.98% +1.98% +5.94% +0.99% +0.99% WIN
2023-03-02 09:29:00 $2.42 -2.83% -2.07% -1.18% -6.20% -0.41% +2.48% -4.13% +0.41% LOSS
2023-03-01 09:29:00 $2.11 +0.47% -2.84% +3.27% +5.69% +16.11% +19.43% -4.27% +0.47% WIN
2023-02-28 09:29:00 $1.78 +13.76% +30.90% +59.55% +36.96% +19.66% +61.24% -3.93% -0.56% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on BVS

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push BVS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize BVS Strategy →

Why Analyze BVS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for BVS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, BVS historically offers an average upside of +20.74% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 BVS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, BVS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show BVS performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +11.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.