FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

CERS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-30 → 2024-10-14

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 31, 1997 🔗 www.cerus.com
💰 Market Cap: $478.3M 👥 Employees: 281
Cerus Corp is a biomedical products company focused on the field of blood transfusion safety. The INTERCEPT Blood System is designed to reduce the risk of transfusion-transmitted infections by inactivating a broad range of pathogens such as viruses, bacteria, and parasites. The company sells its INTERCEPT platelet and plasma systems in the United States of America, Europe, the Commonwealth of Independent States countries, the Middle East, and selected countries in other regions around the world. The firm continues to operate in only one segment: Blood safety and generates revenue from the same.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+2.07%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.34%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -1.16%
Best: +2.15%
Worst: -1.97%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.86%
Avg Winner: +6.18%
Avg Loser: -4.82%
Best: +6.18%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +9.14%
Avg Loser: -3.66%
Best: +9.14%
Worst: -6.12%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +5.91%
Avg Loser: -2.46%
Best: +5.91%
Worst: -5.36%
Trades: 1/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +2.07%
Avg Winner: +6.63%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +10.75%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.61%
Best MFE: +14.52%
Avg Time to MFE: 149 min

On average, CERS alerts reach +4.61% profit potential within 149 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.05%
Worst MAE: -2.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.05%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.38:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.38x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, CERS typically reaches +4.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.93%
Best Gap +1.43%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How CERS compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
CERS: -0.34% Sector: -0.34% +0.01%
EOD Gain
CERS: +2.07% Sector: +38960.46% -38958.40%
Avg MFE
CERS: +4.61% Sector: +8.67% -4.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical CERS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-14 09:26:10 $1.96 -1.97% -5.36% -6.12% -5.36% -3.57% -1.02% -2.55% -2.55% LOSS
2023-12-14 09:25:00 $1.86 +2.15% +6.18% +9.14% +5.91% +10.75% +14.52% -1.08% -1.08% WIN
2023-11-01 09:27:00 $1.4 -1.07% -4.29% -2.86% -1.79% -1.43% +1.43% +1.43% +1.43% LOSS
2023-05-30 09:28:00 $1.99 -0.45% - -2.01% -0.25% +2.51% +3.52% -2.01% -1.51% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on CERS

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push CERS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize CERS Strategy →

Why Analyze CERS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for CERS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, CERS historically offers an average upside of +4.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 CERS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, CERS shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show CERS performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +2.07%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.