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LYRA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-08 → 2024-06-21

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Lyra Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 01, 2020 🔗 lyratherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.6M 👥 Employees: 87
Lyra Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage therapeutics company focused on the development and commercialization of novel integrated drug and delivery solutions for the localized treatment of patients. The Company's operations and manages its business as a single operating segment which is the business of developing targeted medicines to address ears, nose, and throat, or ENT diseases. Its initial product candidates, LYR-210 and LYR-220, are bioabsorbable polymeric matrices designed to be administered in a brief, non-invasive, in-office procedure and intended to deliver continuous drug therapy to the sinonasal passages for the treatment of chronic rhinosinusitis, or CRS.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+4938.27%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.35%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +3.69%
Avg Loser: -4.06%
Best: +6.10%
Worst: -6.72%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.00%
Avg Winner: +8.37%
Avg Loser: -6.37%
Best: +13.98%
Worst: -14.04%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.57%
Avg Winner: +7.79%
Avg Loser: -6.65%
Best: +11.27%
Worst: -9.49%
Trades: 3/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +8.20%
Avg Loser: -7.82%
Best: +16.19%
Worst: -13.83%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +4938.27%
Avg Winner: +4938.27%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +5757.14%
Worst: +4443.86%
Trades: 6/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.35%
Best MFE: +21.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 39 min

On average, LYRA alerts reach +9.35% profit potential within 39 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.21%
Worst MAE: -4.92%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.23:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.23x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, LYRA typically reaches +9.35% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -1.60%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How LYRA compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LYRA: -0.80% Sector: -0.34% -0.46%
EOD Gain
LYRA: +4938.27% Sector: +38960.46% -34022.19%
Avg MFE
LYRA: +9.35% Sector: +8.67% +0.68%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LYRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-21 09:29:15 $0.26 +1.28% +1.18% +5.06% +3.58% +5048.63% +5.18% -0.23% -0.23% WIN
2024-06-20 09:26:00 $0.26 -0.49% -1.21% -1.70% -2.27% +4837.71% +3.44% -2.30% -0.34% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:29:00 $5.06 -6.72% -3.85% -9.49% -13.83% +4445.45% +3.75% -4.54% -0.40% LOSS
2023-06-20 09:25:00 $3.15 - +9.96% +11.27% +16.19% +5757.14% +21.90% -1.27% - -
2023-05-26 09:25:00 $2.85 -4.97% -14.04% -8.77% -7.37% +4443.86% +1.75% - -5.26% LOSS
2022-04-08 09:25:00 $5.08 +6.10% +13.98% +7.05% +4.82% +5096.85% +20.08% -4.92% -3.35% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on LYRA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LYRA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LYRA Strategy →

Why Analyze LYRA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LYRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LYRA historically offers an average upside of +9.35% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LYRA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, LYRA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LYRA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +4938.27%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.