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MDAI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 36 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-09-12 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (36 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Spectral AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 12, 2023 🔗 www.spectral-ai.com
💰 Market Cap: $53.4M 👥 Employees: 78
Spectral AI Inc is an AI company, focused on predictive medical diagnostics. Spectral is devoting substantially all of its efforts towards the research and development of its DeepView System, an internally developed MSI device that has designated FDA BDD status. Its DeepView System uses proprietary algorithms to distinguish between damaged and healthy human tissue invisible to the naked eye, providing Day One healing assessments in seconds. The Company's output is specifically engineered to allow the physician to make a more accurate, timely, and informed decision regarding the treatment of the patient's wound.
📊
36
Total Alerts
🎯
38.2%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-2.39%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+8.47%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 22.9%
Avg Gain: -1.10%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -2.34%
Best: +7.57%
Worst: -6.69%
Trades: 8/26

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.1%
Avg Gain: -1.53%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -4.52%
Best: +8.29%
Worst: -12.81%
Trades: 13/22

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.3%
Avg Gain: -2.43%
Avg Winner: +2.09%
Avg Loser: -4.78%
Best: +5.19%
Worst: -10.57%
Trades: 12/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 38.2%
Avg Gain: -2.39%
Avg Winner: +3.40%
Avg Loser: -6.27%
Best: +8.82%
Worst: -13.33%
Trades: 13/20

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 36.1%
Avg Gain: -2.70%
Avg Winner: +7.15%
Avg Loser: -8.27%
Best: +25.49%
Worst: -25.86%
Trades: 13/23

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.47%
Best MFE: +53.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, MDAI alerts reach +8.47% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.18%
Worst MAE: -13.26%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.18%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, MDAI typically reaches +8.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 19.4%
Avg Gap -0.79%
Best Gap +3.71%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How MDAI compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MDAI: -0.94% Sector: -0.34% -0.59%
EOD Gain
MDAI: -3.09% Sector: +38960.46% -38963.56%
Avg MFE
MDAI: +8.54% Sector: +8.67% -0.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MDAI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:11 $2.12 +0.47% +1.42% -0.91% - +4.72% +4.72% -1.89% +0.47% WIN
2025-02-03 09:27:54 $1.75 +4.54% +6.86% +4.57% +4.57% +4.00% +7.71% +0.57% +2.29% WIN
2025-01-27 09:26:56 $1.84 -2.72% +0.51% +0.82% -1.37% -4.35% +1.90% -2.72% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:28:15 $2.03 -1.94% +0.82% +0.99% +0.99% -5.42% +2.22% -1.97% -0.49% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:27:32 $2.09 -1.91% -2.39% -2.90% -2.87% -3.35% - -0.48% -2.39% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:38 $2.46 -0.41% -8.17% -2.67% -5.07% -16.26% +5.28% -3.66% -1.22% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:07 $2.33 -0.43% -3.86% -7.72% -3.86% -6.44% +0.86% -0.37% - LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:00 $2.61 +0.03% -6.55% -4.21% -3.48% -7.28% +0.57% -0.38% - WIN
2025-01-06 09:29:46 $2.92 -1.03% -5.65% -4.50% -5.31% -10.96% +2.40% -0.34% - LOSS
2025-01-03 09:27:07 $2.62 -0.38% +1.53% +3.44% +2.71% +14.50% +15.65% -2.67% -0.76% LOSS
2025-01-02 09:27:06 $2.89 -1.90% -6.00% -4.84% -4.50% -5.54% - -0.35% -0.35% LOSS
2024-12-31 09:25:14 $3.2 -0.94% -12.81% -8.72% -5.62% -11.56% +0.31% +0.03% +0.31% LOSS
2024-12-30 09:29:29 $3.06 -2.61% -1.31% -2.94% +0.65% -0.33% +6.21% -6.54% -0.33% LOSS
2024-12-27 09:27:11 $2.64 -1.52% -5.72% -3.41% -10.61% +4.17% +10.98% -13.26% -1.52% LOSS
2024-12-23 09:26:21 $2.07 -2.89% -2.42% -1.40% +5.31% +1.45% +6.28% -4.83% -2.42% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:28:49 $1.97 -1.52% -1.95% -8.12% -6.60% -8.63% +3.55% -9.64% -3.55% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:26:29 $2.07 -2.42% -5.85% -5.80% -7.24% +1.45% +7.73% -9.18% -1.45% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:25:23 $2.27 -1.78% +1.32% +0.44% -6.16% -8.81% +5.29% -3.08% -0.88% LOSS
2024-12-05 09:25:17 $2.12 +1.47% +6.84% +5.19% +1.84% -4.25% +10.85% -0.01% - WIN
2024-12-04 09:28:05 $2.13 +1.41% -1.45% -3.29% -8.45% +1.88% +2.82% -0.98% +0.47% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MDAI Shows Negative Expectancy

With 38.2% win rate and -2.39% average gain, MDAI alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MDAI for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MDAI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MDAI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MDAI historically offers an average upside of +8.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MDAI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 38.2%, MDAI shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MDAI may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MDAI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.39%). This suggests MDAI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.