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MDXG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-14 → 2023-11-01

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 22, 2007 🔗 www.mimedx.com
💰 Market Cap: $779.0M 👥 Employees: 837
MiMedx Group Inc develops and markets regenerative biomaterial products and bioimplants made from the human amniotic membrane, birth tissues, and human skin & bone. Its products are targeted towards the wound-care, burn, surgical, sports medicine, and orthopedics markets. MiMedx's key products are allografts processed from amniotic tissue, which include EpiFix for external use and AmnioFix for internal use. AmnioCord, AmnioFill, EpiBurn, and EpiCord are some of its other products. Also, it sells allografts for ophthalmic surgery and dental applications through licenses to third parties.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
0.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-4.55%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
-3.55%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.55%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.55%
Best: -0.76%
Worst: -6.95%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.03%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.03%
Best: -2.44%
Worst: -9.36%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.80%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.80%
Best: -4.57%
Worst: -9.89%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -6.73%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -6.73%
Best: -5.18%
Worst: -8.82%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -5.28%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -5.28%
Best: -1.68%
Worst: -7.49%
Trades: 0/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: -3.55%
Best MFE: +0.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 3 min

On average, MDXG alerts reach -3.55% profit potential within 3 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -4.60%
Worst MAE: -7.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 4.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.77:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MDXG typically reaches -3.55% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around -2.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -4.40%
Best Gap -0.30%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How MDXG compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MDXG: -4.55% Sector: -0.34% -4.21%
EOD Gain
MDXG: -5.28% Sector: +38960.46% -38965.74%
Avg MFE
MDXG: -3.55% Sector: +8.67% -12.22%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MDXG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-01 09:25:00 $6.56 -0.76% -2.44% -4.57% -5.18% -1.68% +0.61% -0.76% -0.30% LOSS
2023-08-11 09:29:00 $8.09 -5.93% -6.29% -5.93% -6.19% -6.67% -5.69% -5.81% -5.69% LOSS
2022-09-14 09:25:00 $3.74 -6.95% -9.36% -9.89% -8.82% -7.49% -5.58% -7.22% -7.22% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MDXG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 0.0% win rate and -4.55% average gain, MDXG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MDXG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MDXG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MDXG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MDXG historically offers an average upside of -3.55% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MDXG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 0.0%, MDXG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MDXG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MDXG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -4.55%). This suggests MDXG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.