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MPWR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-05 → 2023-04-05

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES (SIC 3674)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 19, 2004 🔗 www.monolithicpower.com
💰 Market Cap: $50.96B 👥 Employees: 4,017
Monolithic Power Systems is an analog and mixed-signal chipmaker specializing in power management solutions. Its mission is to reduce total energy consumption in end systems. It serves the computing, automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer end markets. MPS uses a fabless manufacturing model, partnering with third-party chip foundries to host its proprietary BCD process technology.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.05%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+0.05%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.05%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.05%
Worst: +0.05%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: -0.84%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.84%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.84%
Best: -0.84%
Worst: -0.84%
Trades: 0/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: -0.98%
Worst: -0.98%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.19%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.19%
Best: -1.19%
Worst: -1.19%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.05%
Best MFE: +0.05%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, MPWR alerts reach +0.05% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -0.29%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.17:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, MPWR typically reaches +0.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.05%
Best Gap -0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

How MPWR compares to 58 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MPWR: +0.05% Sector: -0.04% +0.09%
EOD Gain
MPWR: -1.19% Sector: +13404.08% -13405.26%
Avg MFE
MPWR: +0.05% Sector: +2.71% -2.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MPWR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-04-05 09:26:00 $479.0 +0.05% -0.84% -0.84% -0.98% -1.19% +0.05% -0.29% -0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MPWR

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MPWR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MPWR Strategy →

Why Analyze MPWR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MPWR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MPWR historically offers an average upside of +0.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MPWR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MPWR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MPWR performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.05%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.