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NVCR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 9 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-05 → 2024-12-02

⚠️ Small sample size (9 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 02, 2015 🔗 www.novocure.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.51B 👥 Employees: 1,488
NovoCure Ltd is an oncology company with a propreitary platform technology in United States. Its business involves the development, manufacture and commercialization of Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) devices, including Optune Gio and Optune Lua, for the treatment of solid tumor cancers. Its pipeline consists of Trident, Lunar-2, Panova-3, Metis and other products and technologies for the treatment of Glioblastoma, Non-smell cell lung cancer and Pancreatic cancer. Geographically, the company derives majority of its revenue from the United States and rest from Germany, Japan and other markets.
📊
9
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-5.82%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+4.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -3.21%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -3.65%
Best: +0.28%
Worst: -7.91%
Trades: 1/8

15MIN

Win Rate: 22.2%
Avg Gain: -4.20%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -5.76%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -9.46%
Trades: 2/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 11.1%
Avg Gain: -5.38%
Avg Winner: +1.75%
Avg Loser: -6.27%
Best: +1.75%
Worst: -18.61%
Trades: 1/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -5.82%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -9.19%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -21.22%
Trades: 3/6

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -5.80%
Avg Winner: +5.72%
Avg Loser: -11.56%
Best: +10.60%
Worst: -37.63%
Trades: 3/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.29%
Best MFE: +12.47%
Avg Time to MFE: 105 min

On average, NVCR alerts reach +4.29% profit potential within 105 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -6.20%
Worst MAE: -12.70%
Avg Time to MAE: 15 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 6.20%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.69:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 9 alerts, NVCR typically reaches +4.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 9
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.16%
Best Gap +0.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How NVCR compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NVCR: -3.21% Sector: -0.34% -2.87%
EOD Gain
NVCR: -5.80% Sector: +38960.46% -38966.27%
Avg MFE
NVCR: +4.29% Sector: +8.67% -4.38%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVCR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-02 09:27:47 $28.07 -7.91% -2.01% -6.12% -7.42% +6.34% +12.47% -10.94% +0.64% LOSS
2024-10-16 09:27:43 $21.4 -6.60% -8.41% -12.10% -12.60% -16.50% +1.95% -5.05% +0.28% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:29:17 $14.8 -6.32% -9.46% -4.05% +1.28% -1.08% +5.00% -12.70% -0.14% LOSS
2023-08-28 09:28:00 $19.9 -2.71% +1.86% +1.75% +0.20% -6.51% +5.33% -5.48% -0.80% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:29:00 $34.21 -1.17% +0.73% -1.84% -4.19% -2.60% +1.14% -1.75% -0.03% LOSS
2023-06-23 09:26:00 $44.0 -2.73% -2.43% -1.98% -4.35% -5.07% -0.61% -1.59% -0.61% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $48.56 -1.28% -1.81% -1.09% -5.37% +0.21% +0.73% -5.91% -0.54% LOSS
2023-06-06 09:25:00 $75.36 -0.48% -8.45% -18.61% -21.22% -37.63% +0.85% -0.20% -0.94% LOSS
2023-01-05 09:28:00 $107.42 +0.28% -7.76% -4.36% +1.30% +10.60% +11.74% -12.16% +0.69% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NVCR Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -5.82% average gain, NVCR alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NVCR for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NVCR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVCR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVCR historically offers an average upside of +4.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVCR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, NVCR shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NVCR may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVCR shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -5.82%). This suggests NVCR is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.