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NVNO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-03-06 → 2024-09-27

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

enVVeno Medical Corporation Common Stock SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS (SIC 3841)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 31, 2018 🔗 www.envveno.com
💰 Market Cap: $7.7M 👥 Employees: 37
enVVeno Medical Corp is a late clinical-stage medical device company focused on advancing bioprosthetic (tissue-based) solutions to improve the standard of care for treating venous disease. The company's product, VenoValve, is a surgical replacement venous valve that is currently being evaluated in a U.S. pivotal study. The company is also developing a second product called enVVe, which is a non-surgical, transcatheter-based replacement venous valve. Both the products are designed to act as one-way valves to help assist in propelling blood up the veins of the leg, and back to the heart and lungs. The company has determined that it currently operates in a single segment, Medical Device development, located in a single geographic location, the United States.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.41%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.65%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -1.90%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -1.90%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -8.74%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -8.74%
Best: -4.09%
Worst: -17.25%
Trades: 0/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.20%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.20%
Best: -5.28%
Worst: -8.86%
Trades: 0/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -7.52%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -7.52%
Best: -7.07%
Worst: -8.32%
Trades: 0/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -4.71%
Avg Winner: +7.07%
Avg Loser: -10.60%
Best: +7.07%
Worst: -12.20%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.65%
Best MFE: +7.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, NVNO alerts reach +4.65% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.24%
Worst MAE: -8.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, NVNO typically reaches +4.65% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How NVNO compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NVNO: -0.41% Sector: -0.34% -0.07%
EOD Gain
NVNO: -4.71% Sector: +38960.46% -38965.18%
Avg MFE
NVNO: +4.65% Sector: +8.67% -4.02%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NVNO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-27 09:26:06 $3.69 -1.90% -4.88% -5.28% -7.18% -12.20% - -0.27% - LOSS
2024-06-21 09:26:11 $4.67 +0.52% -4.09% -7.45% -7.07% +7.07% +7.07% -8.14% -1.28% WIN
2024-03-06 09:25:11 $6.55 +0.15% -17.25% -8.86% -8.32% -9.01% +6.87% +1.68% +0.76% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NVNO Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, NVNO has -0.41% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making NVNO profitable.

🔧 Fix NVNO Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze NVNO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NVNO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NVNO historically offers an average upside of +4.65% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NVNO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, NVNO shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.90%) outweigh average wins (+0.34%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NVNO shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.41%). This suggests NVNO is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.