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Latest signal:

OILD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 36 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-22 → 2022-11-30

⚠️ Small sample size (36 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC (SIC 6029)
📍 NYSE Arca 📅 IPO: Mar 27, 2017
📊
36
Total Alerts
🎯
80.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+412.70%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.03%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.7%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -1.18%
Best: +2.07%
Worst: -2.37%
Trades: 15/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.99%
Avg Loser: -2.57%
Best: +4.83%
Worst: -5.94%
Trades: 16/20

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +2.19%
Avg Loser: -2.73%
Best: +7.04%
Worst: -9.62%
Trades: 18/18

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.2%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +2.86%
Avg Loser: -3.01%
Best: +7.89%
Worst: -10.26%
Trades: 17/19

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 80.6%
Avg Gain: +412.70%
Avg Winner: +513.30%
Avg Loser: -4.08%
Best: +982.54%
Worst: -6.85%
Trades: 29/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.03%
Best MFE: +13.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 125 min

On average, OILD alerts reach +4.03% profit potential within 125 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.67%
Worst MAE: -4.20%
Avg Time to MAE: 17 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.67%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.42:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.42x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 36 alerts, OILD typically reaches +4.03% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 36
Gap Up % 41.7%
Avg Gap -0.00%
Best Gap +0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC

How OILD compares to 11 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OILD: -0.23% Sector: -0.04% -0.18%
EOD Gain
OILD: +412.70% Sector: +1152.05% -739.35%
Avg MFE
OILD: +4.03% Sector: +3.85% +0.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OILD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-30 09:25:00 $2.24 +0.45% +2.23% +3.00% +5.13% +2.68% +7.14% -0.45% +0.89% WIN
2022-11-23 09:25:00 $2.25 +0.03% -2.22% -1.33% -0.44% +891.11% +2.22% -2.89% - WIN
2022-11-22 09:25:00 $2.3 -0.87% -0.43% -0.43% -2.17% -6.30% +1.30% -2.61% +0.43% LOSS
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $2.44 +0.41% +3.28% +4.33% +5.31% +883.61% +7.79% -1.64% +0.41% WIN
2022-11-18 09:25:00 $2.37 +1.69% +1.70% +0.42% +1.05% +870.46% +3.80% - +0.42% WIN
2022-11-17 09:25:00 $2.34 +0.85% +0.43% +0.43% +0.75% +861.54% +2.14% -0.24% +0.85% WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $2.15 +0.93% +1.40% +0.70% +0.47% -1.86% +2.79% +0.23% +0.93% WIN
2022-11-10 09:25:00 $2.41 +2.07% +3.32% +1.22% +1.04% -1.24% +6.64% -0.83% -0.41% WIN
2022-11-07 09:25:00 $2.32 - -2.32% -0.43% -3.45% -4.74% +0.43% -0.86% -0.86% -
2022-11-04 09:25:00 $2.27 - +0.88% +1.10% +1.10% +3.52% +8.59% -2.40% - -
2022-11-03 09:25:00 $2.64 -1.89% -3.79% -4.36% -3.03% +820.45% - -1.89% - LOSS
2022-11-01 09:25:00 $2.33 +0.79% +0.73% +2.14% +1.29% +1.72% +4.08% -0.86% -0.43% WIN
2022-10-27 09:25:00 $2.47 -0.81% -1.62% +2.02% -1.17% +2.43% +3.64% -2.83% +0.40% LOSS
2022-10-21 09:25:00 $2.92 -0.34% -1.71% -2.57% -2.74% -6.85% - - -0.34% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $2.86 +0.17% +0.70% -0.45% -1.40% +2.80% +4.72% -2.62% - WIN
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $3.23 -2.17% -3.10% -1.70% -0.31% -1.24% +4.95% -4.02% -0.93% LOSS
2022-10-17 09:25:00 $3.24 -0.62% -3.70% -1.54% -1.85% +1.54% +2.16% -3.70% - LOSS
2022-10-14 09:25:00 $3.15 -0.32% -3.02% +0.48% +6.06% +982.54% +8.41% -4.13% -0.32% LOSS
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $3.65 -2.37% -1.64% -6.03% -5.77% +735.62% - -2.37% -0.27% LOSS
2022-10-12 09:25:00 $3.68 -0.82% -0.82% +0.82% +1.09% +845.65% +1.77% -1.90% -0.54% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 80.6% Baseline on OILD

The 80.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push OILD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize OILD Strategy →

Why Analyze OILD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OILD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OILD historically offers an average upside of +4.03% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OILD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 80.6%, OILD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show OILD performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +412.70%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.