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PAVM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 17 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-10 → 2023-12-05

⚠️ Small sample size (17 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 28, 2016 🔗 www.pavmed.com
💰 Market Cap: $8.4M 👥 Employees: 107
PAVmed Inc is a multi-product, commercial-stage medical technology company organized to advance a broad pipeline of medical technologies from concept to commercialization. The company operates in a single segment as a medical technology company, with the following lines of business: Diagnostics, Medical Devices, and Digital Health. Its products are EsoGuard, esocheck, and the Veris Cancer Care Platform.
📊
17
Total Alerts
🎯
64.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+593.25%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+9.06%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 17.6%
Avg Gain: -1.16%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -2.18%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -5.56%
Trades: 3/12

15MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -1.01%
Avg Winner: +2.18%
Avg Loser: -3.23%
Best: +4.66%
Worst: -10.83%
Trades: 7/10

30MIN

Win Rate: 35.3%
Avg Gain: +0.06%
Avg Winner: +4.86%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +11.07%
Worst: -9.26%
Trades: 6/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.1%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +4.54%
Avg Loser: -4.60%
Best: +10.03%
Worst: -14.44%
Trades: 8/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 64.7%
Avg Gain: +593.25%
Avg Winner: +921.25%
Avg Loser: -8.09%
Best: +1789.31%
Worst: -19.88%
Trades: 11/6

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.06%
Best MFE: +30.92%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, PAVM alerts reach +9.06% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.48%
Worst MAE: -8.66%
Avg Time to MAE: 22 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.48%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.66:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.66x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 17 alerts, PAVM typically reaches +9.06% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 17
Gap Up % 29.4%
Avg Gap -0.51%
Best Gap +4.58%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How PAVM compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PAVM: -1.16% Sector: -0.34% -0.82%
EOD Gain
PAVM: +593.25% Sector: +38960.46% -38367.22%
Avg MFE
PAVM: +9.06% Sector: +8.67% +0.39%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PAVM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-12-05 09:27:00 $0.28 -3.54% -2.18% -0.18% +6.75% -10.71% +14.29% -3.57% +2.86% LOSS
2023-09-06 09:28:00 $0.42 -0.24% -0.26% -0.14% -1.40% +1413.18% +11.64% -2.61% -2.61% LOSS
2022-12-08 09:25:00 $0.67 -2.26% -1.35% +0.77% +1.82% +1306.39% +3.76% -2.26% -2.26% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $1.26 -0.67% -3.97% -2.38% -4.76% -6.35% +0.33% -0.79% - LOSS
2022-08-19 09:25:00 $1.31 +5.34% +0.38% -1.91% -3.38% -8.40% +5.34% - +4.58% WIN
2022-08-18 09:25:00 $1.27 -0.79% -1.28% -2.76% -2.36% +13.39% +13.39% -8.66% -1.57% LOSS
2022-08-17 09:25:00 $1.71 -2.34% +0.59% +2.63% -2.63% -19.88% +3.51% -2.34% -1.75% LOSS
2022-08-15 09:25:00 $2.3 -2.17% -7.61% -3.91% -4.13% -1.30% +0.43% -2.17% -1.30% LOSS
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $1.02 - +0.49% -0.74% +2.94% +6.86% +7.84% -0.74% +0.20% -
2022-05-13 09:25:00 $1.05 -1.43% -3.03% -0.99% +0.95% -1.90% +5.71% -4.76% - LOSS
2022-04-28 09:25:00 $1.35 -5.56% -10.83% -9.26% -14.44% +1211.11% +2.00% +0.74% -0.74% LOSS
2022-04-27 09:25:00 $1.11 +0.90% +2.70% +1.80% +0.91% +1616.22% +26.13% -1.80% +0.90% WIN
2022-04-22 09:25:00 $0.99 -3.03% -0.52% -1.73% -1.96% +1475.76% +8.08% -5.02% -3.03% LOSS
2022-03-28 09:25:00 $1.66 -1.80% -1.32% -4.19% -6.33% +1291.57% - - -1.81% LOSS
2022-03-18 09:25:00 $1.59 - +2.20% +5.66% +7.23% +3.77% +9.43% -2.52% +0.63% -
2022-03-17 09:25:00 $1.31 -2.29% +4.20% +11.07% +10.03% +1789.31% +30.92% -4.58% -2.29% LOSS
2022-02-10 09:25:00 $1.93 +0.15% +4.66% +7.25% +5.70% +6.22% +11.14% -1.04% -0.52% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 64.7% Baseline on PAVM

The 64.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PAVM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PAVM Strategy →

Why Analyze PAVM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PAVM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PAVM historically offers an average upside of +9.06% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PAVM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 64.7%, PAVM shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PAVM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +593.25%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.