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PODD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-03-23 → 2024-07-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 15, 2007 🔗 www.insulet.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.11B 👥 Employees: 3,900
Insulet was founded in 2000 with the goal of making continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion therapy for diabetes easier to use. The result was the Omnipod system, which consists of a small disposable insulin infusion device that can be operated through a smartphone to control dosage. Since the Omnipod was approved by the US Food and Drug Administration in 2005, approximately 500,000 insulin-dependent diabetic patients are using it worldwide.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.46%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.84%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.46%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -1.27%
Best: +1.64%
Worst: -1.27%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -1.58%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: -6.88%
Best: +1.15%
Worst: -6.88%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -3.75%
Best: +1.83%
Worst: -3.75%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +1.13%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +2.09%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.72%
Avg Loser: -1.48%
Best: +1.72%
Worst: -1.63%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.84%
Best MFE: +3.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 114 min

On average, PODD alerts reach +1.84% profit potential within 114 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.41%
Worst MAE: -8.17%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.76:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, PODD typically reaches +1.84% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +0.68%
Best Gap +1.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How PODD compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PODD: +0.46% Sector: -0.34% +0.80%
EOD Gain
PODD: -0.41% Sector: +38960.46% -38960.88%
Avg MFE
PODD: +1.84% Sector: +8.67% -6.83%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PODD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-26 09:26:32 $196.5 -1.27% -6.88% -3.75% -3.09% -1.63% +0.88% -8.17% +0.04% LOSS
2023-11-21 09:28:00 $178.26 +1.64% +1.15% +1.83% +2.09% +1.72% +3.06% +0.55% +1.18% WIN
2023-03-23 09:28:00 $315.67 +1.02% +0.98% +0.35% +0.16% -1.32% +1.57% +0.39% +0.81% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on PODD

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PODD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PODD Strategy →

Why Analyze PODD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PODD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PODD historically offers an average upside of +1.84% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PODD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, PODD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PODD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.46%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.