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RCEL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 1 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-11-10 → 2023-11-10

⚠️ Small sample size (1 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 08, 2012 🔗 www.avitamedical.com
💰 Market Cap: $135.4M 👥 Employees: 260
Avita is a single product company. Its RECELL system is an innovative burn treatment device which creates Spray-on Skin from a small skin sample within 30 minutes, thus avoiding or reducing the need for skin grafts. It's approved for the treatment of adult and paediatric patients in the US and an expanded indication for soft-tissue reconstruction. It is currently in rollout across the approximately 136 US burn centers. Despite having product approval in Australia, Europe, Canada, and China, Avita is not actively marketing in those territories and focussing instead on the US region. However, it is expected to launch in Japan via distribution partner Cosmotec in second-half fiscal 2022. Avita is domiciled, and has its primary listing, in the US.
📊
1
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+3.74%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +3.74%
Avg Winner: +3.74%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.74%
Worst: +3.74%
Trades: 1/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.04%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.04%
Best: -2.04%
Worst: -2.04%
Trades: 0/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.07%
Avg Winner: +1.07%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: +1.07%
Trades: 1/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -2.89%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -2.89%
Best: -2.89%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 0/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -4.00%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -4.00%
Best: -4.00%
Worst: -4.00%
Trades: 0/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.38%
Best MFE: +6.38%
Avg Time to MFE: 5 min

On average, RCEL alerts reach +6.38% profit potential within 5 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.62%
Worst MAE: -1.62%
Avg Time to MAE: 1 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.62%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 1 alerts, RCEL typically reaches +6.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 1
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +2.04%
Best Gap +2.04%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS

How RCEL compares to 88 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RCEL: +3.74% Sector: -0.34% +4.08%
EOD Gain
RCEL: -4.00% Sector: +38960.46% -38964.46%
Avg MFE
RCEL: +6.38% Sector: +8.67% -2.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RCEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-11-10 09:25:00 $11.76 +3.74% -2.04% +1.07% -2.89% -4.00% +6.38% -1.62% +2.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on RCEL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RCEL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RCEL Strategy →

Why Analyze RCEL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RCEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RCEL historically offers an average upside of +6.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RCEL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, RCEL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RCEL performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +3.74%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.